The post Bitcoin stalls: U.S. policy uncertainty clouds BTC’s path beyond $124K appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Why is Bitcoin under pressure? The U.S. EPU Index surged to 939.7, nine times above average, raising risks of 2–5% contraction across investments, jobs, and consumption. How does this cycle differ for BTC? Active Addresses kept falling despite record highs and ETF inflows, signaling investors now rely more on exchanges and institutional vehicles than on-chain activity. Bitcoin [BTC] has been struggling to reach a new high after trading up to $124,000, as capital inflows remain low. U.S. economic data suggested inflows could shrink further, raising the risk of weaker prices and volumes. Even so, sentiment across broader markets pointed to a different path for the asset. Policy stress weighs on Bitcoin The U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index, according to Alphractal, hit 939.7 on the 15th of September—its highest since 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. The EPU tracks how the market is performing and predicts key events such as recessions. Alphractal noted that a projected risk of 2–5% still looms. Drivers included tariff shocks, persistent inflation above 3%, and heated fiscal disputes in Washington. These pressures left risk assets like Bitcoin vulnerable to at least short-term declines. Source: Alphractal Crypto analyst Joao Wedson warned that “history always repeats itself,” referencing Bitcoin’s performance in January 2024 when the EPU surged to 1,024 and Bitcoin dropped 21% from $48,969 to $38,555. “This is nothing more than a social fractal that has repeated itself over the centuries.” Wedson added that this period may present a strong accumulation opportunity, stressing that such conditions are usually short-term. Will Bitcoin break the cycle curse? New market insights suggested that the current Bitcoin market cycle may differ from past cycles. Crypto analyst Darkforst noted that in previous bull runs, Bitcoin’s on-chain activity surged, with Active Addresses (AA) rising alongside price. This time appears different. While… The post Bitcoin stalls: U.S. policy uncertainty clouds BTC’s path beyond $124K appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Why is Bitcoin under pressure? The U.S. EPU Index surged to 939.7, nine times above average, raising risks of 2–5% contraction across investments, jobs, and consumption. How does this cycle differ for BTC? Active Addresses kept falling despite record highs and ETF inflows, signaling investors now rely more on exchanges and institutional vehicles than on-chain activity. Bitcoin [BTC] has been struggling to reach a new high after trading up to $124,000, as capital inflows remain low. U.S. economic data suggested inflows could shrink further, raising the risk of weaker prices and volumes. Even so, sentiment across broader markets pointed to a different path for the asset. Policy stress weighs on Bitcoin The U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index, according to Alphractal, hit 939.7 on the 15th of September—its highest since 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. The EPU tracks how the market is performing and predicts key events such as recessions. Alphractal noted that a projected risk of 2–5% still looms. Drivers included tariff shocks, persistent inflation above 3%, and heated fiscal disputes in Washington. These pressures left risk assets like Bitcoin vulnerable to at least short-term declines. Source: Alphractal Crypto analyst Joao Wedson warned that “history always repeats itself,” referencing Bitcoin’s performance in January 2024 when the EPU surged to 1,024 and Bitcoin dropped 21% from $48,969 to $38,555. “This is nothing more than a social fractal that has repeated itself over the centuries.” Wedson added that this period may present a strong accumulation opportunity, stressing that such conditions are usually short-term. Will Bitcoin break the cycle curse? New market insights suggested that the current Bitcoin market cycle may differ from past cycles. Crypto analyst Darkforst noted that in previous bull runs, Bitcoin’s on-chain activity surged, with Active Addresses (AA) rising alongside price. This time appears different. While…

Bitcoin stalls: U.S. policy uncertainty clouds BTC’s path beyond $124K

Key Takeaways

Why is Bitcoin under pressure?

The U.S. EPU Index surged to 939.7, nine times above average, raising risks of 2–5% contraction across investments, jobs, and consumption.

How does this cycle differ for BTC?

Active Addresses kept falling despite record highs and ETF inflows, signaling investors now rely more on exchanges and institutional vehicles than on-chain activity.


Bitcoin [BTC] has been struggling to reach a new high after trading up to $124,000, as capital inflows remain low.

U.S. economic data suggested inflows could shrink further, raising the risk of weaker prices and volumes. Even so, sentiment across broader markets pointed to a different path for the asset.

Policy stress weighs on Bitcoin

The U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index, according to Alphractal, hit 939.7 on the 15th of September—its highest since 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The EPU tracks how the market is performing and predicts key events such as recessions. Alphractal noted that a projected risk of 2–5% still looms.

Drivers included tariff shocks, persistent inflation above 3%, and heated fiscal disputes in Washington. These pressures left risk assets like Bitcoin vulnerable to at least short-term declines.

Source: Alphractal

Crypto analyst Joao Wedson warned that “history always repeats itself,” referencing Bitcoin’s performance in January 2024 when the EPU surged to 1,024 and Bitcoin dropped 21% from $48,969 to $38,555.

Wedson added that this period may present a strong accumulation opportunity, stressing that such conditions are usually short-term.

Will Bitcoin break the cycle curse?

New market insights suggested that the current Bitcoin market cycle may differ from past cycles.

Crypto analyst Darkforst noted that in previous bull runs, Bitcoin’s on-chain activity surged, with Active Addresses (AA) rising alongside price.

This time appears different. While Bitcoin has set new highs, AA has continued to decline.

Darkforst explained,

Source: X

He attributed this evolution to centralized exchanges (CEXs), which now provide extensive services that keep investors engaged on their platforms rather than on-chain.

The entry of institutional investors has also reshaped the market.

The launch of Bitcoin spot ETFs in 2024 gave speculators access to BTC without needing to manage wallets, transact on-chain, or worry about asset security.

AMBCrypto reviewed exchange activity and found that accumulation has been underway for six consecutive weeks, according to CoinGlass.

This week alone, investors scooped up $165 million worth of Bitcoin from the market.

Next: SEI bulls target $0.50 – First, THIS support level needs to hold

Source: https://ambcrypto.com/bitcoin-stalls-u-s-policy-uncertainty-clouds-btcs-path-beyond-124k/

Market Opportunity
Union Logo
Union Price(U)
$0.002858
$0.002858$0.002858
-0.13%
USD
Union (U) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact [email protected] for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

CME Group to launch options on XRP and SOL futures

CME Group to launch options on XRP and SOL futures

The post CME Group to launch options on XRP and SOL futures appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. CME Group will offer options based on the derivative markets on Solana (SOL) and XRP. The new markets will open on October 13, after regulatory approval.  CME Group will expand its crypto products with options on the futures markets of Solana (SOL) and XRP. The futures market will start on October 13, after regulatory review and approval.  The options will allow the trading of MicroSol, XRP, and MicroXRP futures, with expiry dates available every business day, monthly, and quarterly. The new products will be added to the existing BTC and ETH options markets. ‘The launch of these options contracts builds on the significant growth and increasing liquidity we have seen across our suite of Solana and XRP futures,’ said Giovanni Vicioso, CME Group Global Head of Cryptocurrency Products. The options contracts will have two main sizes, tracking the futures contracts. The new market will be suitable for sophisticated institutional traders, as well as active individual traders. The addition of options markets singles out XRP and SOL as liquid enough to offer the potential to bet on a market direction.  The options on futures arrive a few months after the launch of SOL futures. Both SOL and XRP had peak volumes in August, though XRP activity has slowed down in September. XRP and SOL options to tap both institutions and active traders Crypto options are one of the indicators of market attitudes, with XRP and SOL receiving a new way to gauge sentiment. The contracts will be supported by the Cumberland team.  ‘As one of the biggest liquidity providers in the ecosystem, the Cumberland team is excited to support CME Group’s continued expansion of crypto offerings,’ said Roman Makarov, Head of Cumberland Options Trading at DRW. ‘The launch of options on Solana and XRP futures is the latest example of the…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:56
ArtGis Finance Partners with MetaXR to Expand its DeFi Offerings in the Metaverse

ArtGis Finance Partners with MetaXR to Expand its DeFi Offerings in the Metaverse

By using this collaboration, ArtGis utilizes MetaXR’s infrastructure to widen access to its assets and enable its customers to interact with the metaverse.
Share
Blockchainreporter2025/09/18 00:07
Upbit And Bithumb See 60% December Crash

Upbit And Bithumb See 60% December Crash

The post Upbit And Bithumb See 60% December Crash appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Cryptocurrency Trading Volume Plummets: Upbit And Bithumb See 60% December
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/12/23 11:25