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Bitcoin: Is a drop below $90K bound to happen in November?

Bitcoin: Is a drop below $90K bound to happen in November?

The post Bitcoin: Is a drop below $90K bound to happen in November? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Why is Bitcoin’s current pullback hitting harder? STHs bought aggressively near the top, pushing Bitcoin supply in profit down to 68%. Combined with thin bids, even a 23% correction is straining the market. Could BTC fall below $90k soon? With extreme fear, rising leverage, and more STHs underwater, the pressure isn’t being absorbed, making a break below $90k highly likely. HODLing support has long been a key driver of investor FOMO.  However, Bitcoin [BTC] is starting to lose footing. Last week, it dumped 10.6%, slicing through not one, but three major support zones. Most notably, it retested the $92k floor for the first time since early Q2. The fallout? Nearly $2 billion in liquidations hit the market during the same period. Hence, the question is: Is this just another “deleveraging” flush, or are we seeing the setup for a potential push below $90k? Sentiment divergence signal more than routine weakness Bitcoin is slipping further into bearish territory. Sentiment wise, “extreme” fear continues to grip investors, a hallmark of short-term capitulation phases. Flows are reinforcing the setup. November is shaping up to post record-breaking ETF outflows. So far, $2.3 billion has already exited mid-month, marking the second-largest outflow on record. If selling pressure persists, November could easily claim the top spot, adding fuel to the bearish narrative. Source: CoinGlass Against this setup, liquidations are piling on, further weighing on Bitcoin. CoinGlass data shows that over the past 16 days, there have been three days with liquidations exceeding $1 billion, and high-cap assets alone have seen daily liquidations surpass $500 million, intensifying Bitcoin’s dips. And yet, BTC’s leverage ratio is spiking, making this weakness look like a “routine” flush of weak hands. However, sentiment shows a key divergence this cycle, indicating that BTC’s pullback isn’t just typical deleveraging. Bitcoin correction…
Bitcoin Holders Dump BTC Below $100K as Cycle Signals Flash

Bitcoin Holders Dump BTC Below $100K as Cycle Signals Flash

The post Bitcoin Holders Dump BTC Below $100K as Cycle Signals Flash appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin just watched new investors dump 148,000 coins as the price cracked below $100,000, bleeding through key cost bases. Now, as that capitulation hits the tape, long-term cycle signals and on-chain bands line up to test how deep this reset can go. Retail Bitcoin Holders Dump 148K BTC as Price Breaks Below Key Cost Bases Retail-linked Bitcoin holders dumped about 148,241 BTC at a loss on Nov. 14 as the price slid below $100,000 and under several realized price bands, according to on-chain data from CryptoQuant. Holders Net Daily Change. Source: CryptoQuant The metrics show that wallets often associated with newer or smaller investors, grouped as holders with less than 1 million BTC, turned sharply net negative on the day. The selling hit while Bitcoin traded near $96,853, well below the group’s estimated cost basis between roughly $102,000 and $107,000. The move marked one of the largest single-day net outflows for these addresses in recent months. At the same time, realized price curves for younger UTXO age bands flipped above spot. The realized prices for coins held between one day and one week, one week and one month, and up to one year now stand higher than the market price. That structure indicates that many recent buyers are underwater, a condition that often coincides with heavier pressure from short-term holders. Bitcoin Realized Price UTXO Age Bands. Source: CryptoQuant/X The break of the $100,000 level added a psychological layer to the on-chain stress. Once spot fell through both the round-number mark and the realized ranges of recent entrants, selling accelerated as investors moved to cut losses. The outflow reflects a wave of capitulation from buyers who entered near the peak and chose to exit rather than face a deeper drawdown. Despite the pain for those sellers, the same data set shows…
Bitcoin Holders Dump 148,000 BTC as Price Breaks Below $100K and Flags Deeper Cycle Targets

Bitcoin Holders Dump 148,000 BTC as Price Breaks Below $100K and Flags Deeper Cycle Targets

Bitcoin just watched new investors dump 148,000 coins as the price cracked below $100,000, bleeding through key cost bases. Now, as that capitulation hits the tape, long-term cycle signals and on-chain bands line up to test how deep this reset can go.Retail Bitcoin Holders Dump 148K BTC as Price Breaks Below Key Cost BasesRetail-linked Bitcoin holders dumped about 148,241 BTC at a loss on Nov. 14 as the price slid below $100,000 and under several realized price bands, according to on-chain data from CryptoQuant.Holders Net Daily Change. Source: CryptoQuantThe metrics show that wallets often associated with newer or smaller investors, grouped as holders with less than 1 million BTC, turned sharply net negative on the day. The selling hit while Bitcoin traded near $96,853, well below the group’s estimated cost basis between roughly $102,000 and $107,000. The move marked one of the largest single-day net outflows for these addresses in recent months.At the same time, realized price curves for younger UTXO age bands flipped above spot. The realized prices for coins held between one day and one week, one week and one month, and up to one year now stand higher than the market price. That structure indicates that many recent buyers are underwater, a condition that often coincides with heavier pressure from short-term holders.Bitcoin Realized Price UTXO Age Bands. Source: CryptoQuant/XThe break of the $100,000 level added a psychological layer to the on-chain stress. Once spot fell through both the round-number mark and the realized ranges of recent entrants, selling accelerated as investors moved to cut losses. The outflow reflects a wave of capitulation from buyers who entered near the peak and chose to exit rather than face a deeper drawdown.Despite the pain for those sellers, the same data set shows that other market participants absorbed the coins. The transfer from short-term, loss-making holders to counterparties still willing to buy below $100,000 highlights a shift in ownership as Bitcoin tests new support levels after the flush.Bitcoin Tests Cycle Markers as Price Falls Below Key BandsBitcoin is moving through levels that previously marked the end of major market cycles, according to new chart data shared by Mister Crypto and Glassnode analyst Ali. As price trades under $98,650, both long-term technical patterns and MVRV deviation bands highlight support zones that historically defined cyclical bottoms.Mister Crypto’s visual comparison shows the same signal repeating at the close of the 2014, 2017, and 2021 cycles: a monthly death cross between the 20-month and 50-month moving averages. Each occurrence aligned with a prolonged downturn before markets reset. The 2025 chart now shows the same cross forming again as Bitcoin pulls back from its recent peak, placing the current correction in line with prior cycle-end structures.Bitcoin Cycle Death Cross. Source: Mister CryptoAt the same time, on-chain data from Glassnode shows price slipping below the mean MVRV deviation band at $98,650. Once that band breaks, the next statistically defined levels sit at $75,740, $56,160, and $52,820. Those ranges mark deeper points where market value historically reconnected with realized fundamentals during extended corrections. As of Nov. 16, Bitcoin trades near $94,394, while realized price stands at about $56,156.Bitcoin MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands. Source: Glassnode, Ali ChartsTogether, the long-term moving-average cross and MVRV deviation markers indicate that Bitcoin is entering the same technical environment that shaped previous four-year cycle resets. The data shows price now navigating zones that have repeatedly acted as structural support when prior bull markets transitioned into consolidation phases.
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Author: Coinstats2025/11/18 05:07
Harvard Leads Universities in Bitcoin ETF Accumulation

Harvard Leads Universities in Bitcoin ETF Accumulation

The post Harvard Leads Universities in Bitcoin ETF Accumulation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Harvest University increased its BlackRock IBIT shares to over 6.8 million in Q3, despite BTC declining prices. Emory University also increased its Grayscale’s Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF and IBIT holdings, highlighting surging institutional BTC adoption. Harvard University has dramatically increased its exposure to Bitcoin through spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the third quarter (Q3) of 2025. New filings revealed Harvard, the institution with the world’s largest academic endowment, has nearly tripled the size of its spot Bitcoin ETF holdings. Harvard Grows Triples IBIT Holdings in Q3 Harvard increased its holdings of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) to 6,813,612 shares in Q3. This marks a 257% increase from the 1,906,000 shares the University previously reported holding as of June.  According to the filings submitted with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), those shares were worth $442.8 million. Unfortunately, the same shares are now worth around $364.4 million because the Bitcoin price has dropped since then. This single Bitcoin ETF holding is now Harvard’s most significant publicly disclosed investment. It is bigger than its stakes in Microsoft, Amazon, or even the SPDR Gold Trust. However, the filings do not show how much Harvard spent to acquire the shares between the two reported dates. Harvard currently has an endowment of roughly $57 billion, so even $364 to $442 million is less than 1% of the total. Although this is still a tiny slice, it is symbolically huge because Harvard is historically very conservative with its money.  Bloomberg Senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas commented on X, saying it is difficult to get an endowment to bite on an ETF, especially one at Harvard or Yale. Thus, he noted that Harvard’s IBIT shares boost is as good a validation as an ETF can get.  Harvard Bitcoin ETF Portfolio | Source: Eric Balchunas IBIT from…
XRP Faces Price Risk Ahead of ETF Launches This Week

XRP Faces Price Risk Ahead of ETF Launches This Week

The post XRP Faces Price Risk Ahead of ETF Launches This Week appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Many XRP ETFs are scheduled to launch between November 18-25, starting with EZRP. XRP declined 15% since the first ETF launch, compared to Bitcoin’s 20% drop pattern. Analyst questions whether XRP will match BTC’s 20% decline or follow ETH’s drop. There are a lot of XRP exchange-traded funds scheduled to launch between November 18-25. Franklin Templeton’s EZRP leads the wave, launching on November 18, followed by Bitwise on November 20, 21Shares on November 21, CoinShares on November 22, Grayscale and WisdomTree on November 25. XRP currently shows mixed short-term performance: up 1.0% over 24 hours but down 11.0% over seven days and 4.7% over 30 days. The token has gained 114.3% over the past year despite recent weakness. Historical Patterns Suggest Volatility Ahead Analyst EGRAG Crypto noted that XRP has declined 15% since the first ETF launch. Bitcoin experienced approximately a 20% drop on its ETF launch date, suggesting XRP could face an additional 5% decline to match that pattern. Ethereum dropped 40% after its ETF launch, raising questions about which trajectory XRP will follow. #XRP has seen a 15% decline since the launch of the first #ETF. While, #BTC experienced a drop of around 20% on its #ETF launch date. If we follow the same trend, #XRP could drop an additional 5% to match #BTC‘s performance. Additionally, compared to #ETH, which dropped 40%… https://t.co/oSnZ1e7lEX — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) November 16, 2025 Analyst Diana highlighted Franklin Templeton’s significance as a $1.5 trillion asset manager launching EZRP on CBOE on Tuesday. “Analysts are already saying EZRP could match or even beat Canary’s huge Day-1 volume… simply because big money prefers allocating through a heavyweight like Franklin,” Diana stated. The concentration of launches within one week creates conditions for liquidity influx. “Multiple XRP ETFs going live in the same week… this is…
UBS Buys 41,171 ABTC Shares as Bitcoin Tests Support

UBS Buys 41,171 ABTC Shares as Bitcoin Tests Support

The post UBS Buys 41,171 ABTC Shares as Bitcoin Tests Support appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Wall Street’s biggest Swiss bank and Bitcoin’s chart are flashing fresh signals at the same time. UBS has quietly disclosed a stake in Trump-backed American Bitcoin Corp as BTC slips below a key weekly trendline support.  UBS Discloses Stake in Trump-Backed American Bitcoin Corp UBS Group AG has disclosed a new equity position in American Bitcoin Corp, the mining and infrastructure company backed by members of the Trump family. The bank reported holding 41,171 shares of the Nasdaq-listed firm in its latest quarterly filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. According to the Form 13F for the quarter ending Sept. 30, UBS added the shares as part of its U.S. equity portfolio, placing the position among its smaller holdings. The filing shows the stake was valued at roughly $277,000 at the time of reporting, marking a modest but notable entry into a politically prominent Bitcoin-related company. UBS ABTC Disclosure. Source: BitcoinTreasuries The disclosure comes as institutional interest in digital-asset firms continues to grow. American Bitcoin Corp has attracted attention since launching with backing from Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., positioning itself as a public vehicle tied to Bitcoin mining and infrastructure. UBS’s inclusion of ABTC in its portfolio adds another major financial institution to the list of investors with exposure to the company. The 13F filing does not indicate a broader shift in UBS’s cryptocurrency strategy. Instead, it reflects routine equity positioning within a diversified portfolio. Even so, the move highlights how traditional financial institutions are gradually increasing their exposure to companies operating in the digital-asset sector. Bitcoin Slips Below Short-Term Trendline as Weekly Chart Points to Nearby Support Meanwhile, Bitcoin has lost its short-term trendline on the weekly chart, signaling a clear technical break after weeks of slowing momentum. The new structure shows the candle closing beneath…