Crypto markets rarely offer moments of clarity, yet XRP now approaches one of those rare inflection points. After years of compression beneath a dominant resistance structure, the asset is testing a level that has defined its long-term price behavior since 2018. This interaction could determine whether XRP enters a fresh expansion phase or revisits deeper structural support.
Crypto analyst ChartNerd recently spotlighted this setup on X, sharing a logarithmic XRP/USD chart covering 2018 through 2026. His analysis centers on a retest of a seven-year descending resistance trendline near $1.47. This trendline has capped every major rally since XRP’s historic peak, which makes the current retest technically significant.
Long-term descending resistance reflects persistent selling pressure across multiple cycles. XRP repeatedly failed to sustain momentum above this barrier, reinforcing its importance. When price breaks above such a structure and later retests it from above, technicians interpret the move as a confirmation test. Buyers must defend this level to validate the breakout.
If XRP holds above approximately $1.47 with convincing volume, the chart structure supports the case for bullish expansion. Logarithmic charts emphasize percentage-based movement rather than nominal price swings, which makes multi-year levels even more reliable. Historically, assets that successfully reclaim and defend long-term resistance often accelerate into new macro uptrends.
ChartNerd also outlines the alternative path. If XRP loses this retested trendline with strong confirmation, sellers could push the price toward the point of control along a multi-year ascending support structure. That ascending support currently aligns near the $0.50 region.
A decline toward $0.50 would not necessarily destroy XRP’s broader structure. Instead, it would signal prolonged consolidation within its established macro channel. Multi-year ascending supports often act as high-liquidity accumulation zones where long-term participants rebuild positions before a renewed advance.
XRP’s technical posture unfolds against a backdrop of evolving regulatory clarity and shifting liquidity conditions. Institutional participation, derivatives positioning, and broader crypto sentiment continue to influence short-term volatility. However, long-term trendlines often outweigh temporary narrative-driven swings.
The market now stands at a structural decision point shaped over seven years of price history. If buyers defend this retest decisively, XRP could transition into a powerful expansion phase.
If sellers reclaim control, the chart signals a measured retreat toward major support. Either outcome will likely define XRP’s next macro cycle and reshape investor expectations for years to come.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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