The post Historic Bitcoin USD Pattern Suggests This About Bear Market Duration appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Bitcoin USD chart is on track to conclude the 4th consecutive week in the red courtesy of aggressive outflows. While the bears have been crushing demand, one cannot help wonder how much lower BTC will go. Interestingly, the Bitcoin USD chart mat offer insights into how things will play out in the mid to long term. Analysts recently highlighted an interesting pattern that has been playing out in BTC price for years, and one that could offer clues into how Bitcoin value will be affected in the coming months. The Bitcoin USD performance highlighted almost clockwork movements between the bullish cycles. For example, the BTC bull cycle lasted for about 1,050 days from its lowest to highest level between 2015 and 2017. I the subsequent bear market lasted about 364 days from 2017 to 2018. Bitcoin bull and bear cycles/ source: TradingView The next bullish cycle lasted from about 1,071 days from 2018 lows to its 2021 high. The bears followed with a 364-day bear market. This brings us o the latest bull cycle which lasted about 1,064 days from September 2022 to September 2025. If the cycle continues, then Bitcoin (BTC USD) could extend its current bearish dominance up to September 2026. Why the Japanese Bond Market is the Canary in the Coal Mine While the historical bull and bear cycle tops and bottoms offer a sense of what to expect in the long run, the Japanese market highlights the road to getting there. Japan’s 2-year and 10-year government bonds have been rising. This an important observation because it highlights the rising cost of borrowing the Japanese Yen. This consequently means the Yen carry trade continues to unwind, hence investors exit from risk-on assets. Higher Yen borrowing costs have also impacted the value of the Yen. BOJ struggles… The post Historic Bitcoin USD Pattern Suggests This About Bear Market Duration appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Bitcoin USD chart is on track to conclude the 4th consecutive week in the red courtesy of aggressive outflows. While the bears have been crushing demand, one cannot help wonder how much lower BTC will go. Interestingly, the Bitcoin USD chart mat offer insights into how things will play out in the mid to long term. Analysts recently highlighted an interesting pattern that has been playing out in BTC price for years, and one that could offer clues into how Bitcoin value will be affected in the coming months. The Bitcoin USD performance highlighted almost clockwork movements between the bullish cycles. For example, the BTC bull cycle lasted for about 1,050 days from its lowest to highest level between 2015 and 2017. I the subsequent bear market lasted about 364 days from 2017 to 2018. Bitcoin bull and bear cycles/ source: TradingView The next bullish cycle lasted from about 1,071 days from 2018 lows to its 2021 high. The bears followed with a 364-day bear market. This brings us o the latest bull cycle which lasted about 1,064 days from September 2022 to September 2025. If the cycle continues, then Bitcoin (BTC USD) could extend its current bearish dominance up to September 2026. Why the Japanese Bond Market is the Canary in the Coal Mine While the historical bull and bear cycle tops and bottoms offer a sense of what to expect in the long run, the Japanese market highlights the road to getting there. Japan’s 2-year and 10-year government bonds have been rising. This an important observation because it highlights the rising cost of borrowing the Japanese Yen. This consequently means the Yen carry trade continues to unwind, hence investors exit from risk-on assets. Higher Yen borrowing costs have also impacted the value of the Yen. BOJ struggles…

Historic Bitcoin USD Pattern Suggests This About Bear Market Duration

2025/11/23 06:47

The Bitcoin USD chart is on track to conclude the 4th consecutive week in the red courtesy of aggressive outflows.

While the bears have been crushing demand, one cannot help wonder how much lower BTC will go.

Interestingly, the Bitcoin USD chart mat offer insights into how things will play out in the mid to long term.

Analysts recently highlighted an interesting pattern that has been playing out in BTC price for years, and one that could offer clues into how Bitcoin value will be affected in the coming months.

The Bitcoin USD performance highlighted almost clockwork movements between the bullish cycles.

For example, the BTC bull cycle lasted for about 1,050 days from its lowest to highest level between 2015 and 2017. I the subsequent bear market lasted about 364 days from 2017 to 2018.

Bitcoin bull and bear cycles/ source: TradingView

The next bullish cycle lasted from about 1,071 days from 2018 lows to its 2021 high. The bears followed with a 364-day bear market.

This brings us o the latest bull cycle which lasted about 1,064 days from September 2022 to September 2025.

If the cycle continues, then Bitcoin (BTC USD) could extend its current bearish dominance up to September 2026.

Why the Japanese Bond Market is the Canary in the Coal Mine

While the historical bull and bear cycle tops and bottoms offer a sense of what to expect in the long run, the Japanese market highlights the road to getting there.

Japan’s 2-year and 10-year government bonds have been rising. This an important observation because it highlights the rising cost of borrowing the Japanese Yen.

This consequently means the Yen carry trade continues to unwind, hence investors exit from risk-on assets. Higher Yen borrowing costs have also impacted the value of the Yen.

BOJ struggles to contain the YEN/ source: X | @sumnjamBOJ

Rising yen and carry trade unwind may continue to place pressure on risk-on assets such as Bitcoin. However, this could be the outlet that the global markets need to cool off before the economic risks reset.

It is possible that these risk-off factors may continue to fuel more downtrend especially in stocks and crypto over the coming months.

Bitcoin (BTC USD) Eyes the Next Support Level Near the $74,000 Price Level

Yen induced liquidity outflows may continue to suppress the Bitcoin bulls and support bearish dominance.

Large order book flows signaled that whales were also contributing to BTC’s liquidity bleed rather than accumulating at discounted prices.

The whale activity could point to more bearish expectations. Bitcoin (BTC USD) price exchanged hands just above $83,900 which was 10% away from retesting the $74,000 support level.

Bitcoin (BTC USD) price/ source: TradingView

The $74,000 price level is important because it marks the cryptocurrency’s lowest level in the last 12 months.

Beyond that, Bitcoin could potentially extend its decline especially if the bearish correction phase repeats based on historical performance.

A severe enough downturn may push Bitcoin (BTC USD) as low as $50,000. A level that many investors did not anticipate but one that is increasingly looking possible under the prevailing market conditions.

Strategy CEO believes that more downside may be immensely advantageous for his company which aims to buy more BTC at discounted prices.

Bitcoin treasury companies like Strategy will get a chance to lower their average cost basis if Bitcoin extends its decline.

Source: https://www.thecoinrepublic.com/2025/11/22/historic-bitcoin-usd-pattern-suggests-this-about-bear-market-duration/

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact [email protected] for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

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Crucial US Stock Market Update: What Wednesday’s Mixed Close Reveals

Crucial US Stock Market Update: What Wednesday’s Mixed Close Reveals

BitcoinWorld Crucial US Stock Market Update: What Wednesday’s Mixed Close Reveals The financial world often keeps us on our toes, and Wednesday was no exception. Investors watched closely as the US stock market concluded the day with a mixed performance across its major indexes. This snapshot offers a crucial glimpse into current investor sentiment and economic undercurrents, prompting many to ask: what exactly happened? Understanding the Latest US Stock Market Movements On Wednesday, the closing bell brought a varied picture for the US stock market. While some indexes celebrated gains, others registered slight declines, creating a truly mixed bag for investors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average showed resilience, climbing by a notable 0.57%. This positive movement suggests strength in some of the larger, more established companies. Conversely, the S&P 500, a broader benchmark often seen as a barometer for the overall market, experienced a modest dip of 0.1%. 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At the same time, concerns over inflation, interest rate policies by the Federal Reserve, or even global economic uncertainties could have pressured growth stocks, affecting the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Key considerations often include: Economic Data: Recent reports on employment, manufacturing, or consumer spending can sway market sentiment. Corporate Announcements: Strong or weak earnings forecasts from influential companies can significantly impact their respective sectors. Interest Rate Expectations: The prospect of higher or lower interest rates directly influences borrowing costs for businesses and consumer spending, affecting future profitability. Geopolitical Events: Global tensions or trade policies can introduce uncertainty, causing investors to become more cautious. Understanding these underlying drivers is crucial for anyone trying to make sense of daily market fluctuations in the US stock market. Navigating Volatility in the US Stock Market A mixed close, while not a dramatic downturn, serves as a reminder that market volatility is a constant companion for investors. For those involved in the US stock market, particularly individuals managing their portfolios, these days underscore the importance of a well-thought-out strategy. It’s important not to react impulsively to daily movements. Instead, consider these actionable insights: Diversification: Spreading investments across different sectors and asset classes can help mitigate risk when one area underperforms. Long-Term Perspective: Focusing on long-term financial goals rather than short-term gains can help weather daily market swings. Stay Informed: Keeping abreast of economic news and company fundamentals provides context for market behavior. Consult Experts: Financial advisors can offer personalized guidance based on individual risk tolerance and objectives. Even small movements in major indexes can signal shifts that require attention, guiding future investment decisions within the dynamic US stock market. What’s Next for the US Stock Market? Looking ahead, investors will be keenly watching for further economic indicators and corporate announcements to gauge the direction of the US stock market. Upcoming inflation data, statements from the Federal Reserve, and quarterly earnings reports will likely provide more clarity. The interplay of these factors will continue to shape investor confidence and, consequently, the performance of the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq. Remaining informed and adaptive will be key to understanding the market’s trajectory. Conclusion: Wednesday’s mixed close in the US stock market highlights the intricate balance of forces influencing financial markets. While the Dow showed strength, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced slight declines, reflecting a nuanced economic landscape. This reminds us that understanding the ‘why’ behind these movements is as important as the movements themselves. As always, a thoughtful, informed approach remains the best strategy for navigating the complexities of the market. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: What does a “mixed close” mean for the US stock market? A1: A mixed close indicates that while some major stock indexes advanced, others declined. It suggests that different sectors or types of companies within the US stock market are experiencing varying influences, rather than a uniform market movement. Q2: Which major indexes were affected on Wednesday? A2: On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.57%, while the S&P 500 edged down 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.33%, illustrating the mixed performance across the US stock market. Q3: What factors contribute to a mixed stock market performance? A3: Mixed performances in the US stock market can be influenced by various factors, including specific corporate earnings, economic data releases, shifts in interest rate expectations, and broader geopolitical events that affect different market segments uniquely. Q4: How should investors react to mixed market signals? A4: Investors are generally advised to maintain a long-term perspective, diversify their portfolios, stay informed about economic news, and avoid impulsive decisions. Consulting a financial advisor can also provide personalized guidance for navigating the US stock market. Q5: What indicators should investors watch for future US stock market trends? A5: Key indicators to watch include upcoming inflation reports, statements from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy, and quarterly corporate earnings reports. These will offer insights into the future direction of the US stock market. Did you find this analysis of the US stock market helpful? Share this article with your network on social media to help others understand the nuances of current financial trends! To learn more about the latest stock market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping the US stock market‘s future performance. This post Crucial US Stock Market Update: What Wednesday’s Mixed Close Reveals first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
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