- Bitcoin price rises despite weak open interest confirmation and FOMC concerns
- Derivatives-driven rally might face challenges
- Macro expectations could affect Bitcoin’s momentum
CryptoQuant analyst @MAC_D46035 highlights a persistent divergence between Bitcoin prices and open interest, linked to derivatives and FOMC rate-cut expectations.
This divergence may signal fragile market conditions, with Bitcoin’s upward momentum potentially vulnerable to shifts in macroeconomic expectations.
Bitcoin Price Resilience Amid Divergence Issues
Bitcoin’s price rise without open interest support remains a key talking point in the cryptocurrency community. Its sensitivity to changes in macroeconomic expectations, especially related to interest rate cuts, highlights the fragility of the current situation. “The crypto market continues to climb ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting, supported by rising expectations of an interest rate cut,” said MAC_D, Analyst at CryptoQuant.
Implications for the derivatives-driven market include a potential halt in momentum if expectations shift. The ongoing focus on the Federal Reserve’s policies underscores the interconnected nature of cryptocurrency markets and traditional economic indicators.
CryptoQuant’s caution about the divergence has already made waves across trading platforms, where many traders are adjusting their positions in anticipation. Analyst MAC_D emphasized that a change in FOMC expectations could lead to significant motion in the market.
Potential Market Shift Indicated by Historical Data
Did you know? The last time Bitcoin’s price diverged significantly from open interest, it signaled a major market shift when derivatives positioning was misaligned—a caution now echoes in today’s Open Interest Hits 2025 Low dynamics.
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently priced at $92,321.78 with a market cap of 1,842,758,912,130.29, dominating 58.50% of the market. The 24-hour trading volume saw an 18.81% increase to $67,076,986,787.88. Over the past 90 days, Bitcoin’s price has decreased by 18.97%, according to CoinMarketCap.
Bitcoin(BTC), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 11:31 UTC on December 10, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCapInsights from Coincu research team suggest that any change in Federal Reserve’s stance could significantly impact Bitcoin’s derivatives market. Historical trends indicate that divergence often precedes major market corrections, making current conditions a critical period for traders. Binance Open Interest Divergence Cautions Bitcoin Rally Ahead.
| DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing. |
Source: https://coincu.com/markets/bitcoin-rally-derivatives-fomc-rate-cut/
