The post AUD/USD drifts lower after mixed Aussie jobs data, holds mid-0.6600s appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The AUD/USD pair drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday and erodes a part of the previous day’s strong gains to its highest level since September 17. Spot prices stick to modest losses following the release of mixed Australian employment details and currently trade just above mid-0.6600s, though the downside potential seems limited. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that the Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.3% in November compared to the consensus estimate for an uptick to 4.4%. This, however, was offset by a fall in the number of employed people, by 21.3K during the reported month, down from 41.1K in October (revised from 42.2K) and missing the forecast of 20K. This, in turn, undermines the Australian Dollar (AUD) and turns out to be a key factor exerting some pressure on the AUD/USD pair. That said, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) hawkish stance might hold back the AUD bears from placing aggressive bets and help limit losses for the currency pair. In fact, RBA Governor Michele Bullock, following the widely expected on-hold rate decision earlier this week, said that the Board discussed what they might have to do if rates need to go up and that it looks like more rate cuts are not needed. This could support the AUD/USD pair amid a bearish US Dollar (USD). The USD Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, languishes near its lowest level since October 21 in the wake of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish cut on Wednesday. In a widely expected move, the US central bank lowered borrowing costs by 25 basis points and projected just one more cut in 2026. Traders, however, remained hopeful about further cuts ahead in the wake of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at the post-meeting press… The post AUD/USD drifts lower after mixed Aussie jobs data, holds mid-0.6600s appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The AUD/USD pair drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday and erodes a part of the previous day’s strong gains to its highest level since September 17. Spot prices stick to modest losses following the release of mixed Australian employment details and currently trade just above mid-0.6600s, though the downside potential seems limited. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that the Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.3% in November compared to the consensus estimate for an uptick to 4.4%. This, however, was offset by a fall in the number of employed people, by 21.3K during the reported month, down from 41.1K in October (revised from 42.2K) and missing the forecast of 20K. This, in turn, undermines the Australian Dollar (AUD) and turns out to be a key factor exerting some pressure on the AUD/USD pair. That said, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) hawkish stance might hold back the AUD bears from placing aggressive bets and help limit losses for the currency pair. In fact, RBA Governor Michele Bullock, following the widely expected on-hold rate decision earlier this week, said that the Board discussed what they might have to do if rates need to go up and that it looks like more rate cuts are not needed. This could support the AUD/USD pair amid a bearish US Dollar (USD). The USD Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, languishes near its lowest level since October 21 in the wake of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish cut on Wednesday. In a widely expected move, the US central bank lowered borrowing costs by 25 basis points and projected just one more cut in 2026. Traders, however, remained hopeful about further cuts ahead in the wake of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at the post-meeting press…

AUD/USD drifts lower after mixed Aussie jobs data, holds mid-0.6600s

2025/12/11 09:41

The AUD/USD pair drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday and erodes a part of the previous day’s strong gains to its highest level since September 17. Spot prices stick to modest losses following the release of mixed Australian employment details and currently trade just above mid-0.6600s, though the downside potential seems limited.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that the Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.3% in November compared to the consensus estimate for an uptick to 4.4%. This, however, was offset by a fall in the number of employed people, by 21.3K during the reported month, down from 41.1K in October (revised from 42.2K) and missing the forecast of 20K. This, in turn, undermines the Australian Dollar (AUD) and turns out to be a key factor exerting some pressure on the AUD/USD pair.

That said, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) hawkish stance might hold back the AUD bears from placing aggressive bets and help limit losses for the currency pair. In fact, RBA Governor Michele Bullock, following the widely expected on-hold rate decision earlier this week, said that the Board discussed what they might have to do if rates need to go up and that it looks like more rate cuts are not needed. This could support the AUD/USD pair amid a bearish US Dollar (USD).

The USD Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, languishes near its lowest level since October 21 in the wake of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish cut on Wednesday. In a widely expected move, the US central bank lowered borrowing costs by 25 basis points and projected just one more cut in 2026. Traders, however, remained hopeful about further cuts ahead in the wake of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at the post-meeting press conference.

Powell said that the US labor market has significant downside risks and the Fed does not want its policy to push down on job creation. Investors were quick to react and are now pricing in two more rate cuts in 2026. This, along with the upbeat market mood, continues to undermine the safe-haven Greenback and should contribute to limiting losses for the perceived riskier Aussie. Hence, any further corrective slide might still be seen as a buying opportunity and remain limited.

Economic Indicator

Employment Change s.a.

The Employment Change released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is a measure of the change in the number of employed people in Australia. The statistic is adjusted to remove the influence of seasonal trends. Generally speaking, a rise in Employment Change has positive implications for consumer spending, stimulates economic growth, and is bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD). A low reading, on the other hand, is seen as bearish.


Read more.

Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/aud-usd-remains-depressed-after-mixed-aussie-jobs-data-holds-above-mid-06600s-202512110100

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact [email protected] for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

BitcoinWorld Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% The financial world is buzzing with a significant development: the probability of a Fed rate cut in October has just seen a dramatic increase. This isn’t just a minor shift; it’s a monumental change that could ripple through global markets, including the dynamic cryptocurrency space. For anyone tracking economic indicators and their impact on investments, this update from the U.S. interest rate futures market is absolutely crucial. What Just Happened? Unpacking the FOMC Statement’s Impact Following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, market sentiment has decisively shifted. Before the announcement, the U.S. interest rate futures market had priced in a 71.6% chance of an October rate cut. However, after the statement, this figure surged to an astounding 94%. This jump indicates that traders and analysts are now overwhelmingly confident that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next month. Such a high probability suggests a strong consensus emerging from the Fed’s latest communications and economic outlook. A Fed rate cut typically means cheaper borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which can stimulate economic activity. But what does this really signify for investors, especially those in the digital asset realm? Why is a Fed Rate Cut So Significant for Markets? When the Federal Reserve adjusts interest rates, it sends powerful signals across the entire financial ecosystem. A rate cut generally implies a more accommodative monetary policy, often enacted to boost economic growth or combat deflationary pressures. Impact on Traditional Markets: Stocks: Lower interest rates can make borrowing cheaper for companies, potentially boosting earnings and making stocks more attractive compared to bonds. Bonds: Existing bonds with higher yields might become more valuable, but new bonds will likely offer lower returns. Dollar Strength: A rate cut can weaken the U.S. dollar, making exports cheaper and potentially benefiting multinational corporations. Potential for Cryptocurrency Markets: The cryptocurrency market, while often seen as uncorrelated, can still react significantly to macro-economic shifts. A Fed rate cut could be interpreted as: Increased Risk Appetite: With traditional investments offering lower returns, investors might seek higher-yielding or more volatile assets like cryptocurrencies. Inflation Hedge Narrative: If rate cuts are perceived as a precursor to inflation, assets like Bitcoin, often dubbed “digital gold,” could gain traction as an inflation hedge. Liquidity Influx: A more accommodative monetary environment generally means more liquidity in the financial system, some of which could flow into digital assets. Looking Ahead: What Could This Mean for Your Portfolio? While the 94% probability for a Fed rate cut in October is compelling, it’s essential to consider the nuances. Market probabilities can shift, and the Fed’s ultimate decision will depend on incoming economic data. Actionable Insights: Stay Informed: Continue to monitor economic reports, inflation data, and future Fed statements. Diversify: A diversified portfolio can help mitigate risks associated with sudden market shifts. Assess Risk Tolerance: Understand how a potential rate cut might affect your specific investments and adjust your strategy accordingly. This increased likelihood of a Fed rate cut presents both opportunities and challenges. It underscores the interconnectedness of traditional finance and the emerging digital asset space. Investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential volatility. The financial landscape is always evolving, and the significant surge in the probability of an October Fed rate cut is a clear signal of impending change. From stimulating economic growth to potentially fueling interest in digital assets, the implications are vast. Staying informed and strategically positioned will be key as we approach this crucial decision point. The market is now almost certain of a rate cut, and understanding its potential ripple effects is paramount for every investor. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: What is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)? A1: The FOMC is the monetary policymaking body of the Federal Reserve System. It sets the federal funds rate, which influences other interest rates and economic conditions. Q2: How does a Fed rate cut impact the U.S. dollar? A2: A rate cut typically makes the U.S. dollar less attractive to foreign investors seeking higher returns, potentially leading to a weakening of the dollar against other currencies. Q3: Why might a Fed rate cut be good for cryptocurrency? A3: Lower interest rates can reduce the appeal of traditional investments, encouraging investors to seek higher returns in alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. It can also be seen as a sign of increased liquidity or potential inflation, benefiting assets like Bitcoin. Q4: Is a 94% probability a guarantee of a rate cut? A4: While a 94% probability is very high, it is not a guarantee. Market probabilities reflect current sentiment and data, but the Federal Reserve’s final decision will depend on all available economic information leading up to their meeting. Q5: What should investors do in response to this news? A5: Investors should stay informed about economic developments, review their portfolio diversification, and assess their risk tolerance. Consider how potential changes in interest rates might affect different asset classes and adjust strategies as needed. Did you find this analysis helpful? Share this article with your network to keep others informed about the potential impact of the upcoming Fed rate cut and its implications for the financial markets! To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action. This post Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
Share
Coinstats2025/09/18 02:25