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The post Fed Decides On Interest Rates Today—Here’s What To Watch For appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Topline The Federal Reserve on Wednesday will conclude a two-day policymaking meeting and release a decision on whether to lower interest rates—following months of pressure and criticism from President Donald Trump—and potentially signal whether additional cuts are on the way. President Donald Trump has urged the central bank to “CUT INTEREST RATES, NOW, AND BIGGER” than they might plan to. Getty Images Key Facts The central bank is poised to cut interest rates by at least a quarter-point, down from the 4.25% to 4.5% range where they have been held since December to between 4% and 4.25%, as Wall Street has placed 100% odds of a rate cut, according to CME’s FedWatch, with higher odds (94%) on a quarter-point cut than a half-point (6%) reduction. Fed governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, both Trump appointees, voted in July for a quarter-point reduction to rates, and they may dissent again in favor of a large cut alongside Stephen Miran, Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers’ chair, who was sworn in at the meeting’s start on Tuesday. It’s unclear whether other policymakers, including Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid and St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, will favor larger cuts or opt for no reduction. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in his Jackson Hole, Wyoming, address last month the central bank would likely consider a looser monetary policy, noting the “shifting balance of risks” on the U.S. economy “may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” David Mericle, an economist for Goldman Sachs, wrote in a note the “key question” for the Fed’s meeting is whether policymakers signal “this is likely the first in a series of consecutive cuts” as the central bank is anticipated to “acknowledge the softening in the labor market,” though they may not “nod to an October cut.” Mericle said he…

The post Fed Rate Outlook via CME FedWatch: January 25bps Cut Odds 26.6%, March 25bps Cut 39.4%, Unchanged Still Most Likely appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Fed rate expectations remain a key driver for crypto markets, with CME’s FedWatch Tool (per FXStreet) showing a 26.6% probability of a January 25bp rate cut and a dominant 73.4% likelihood of no change to the federal funds rate. For the March horizon, the tool assigns a 39.4% chance of a cumulative 25bp cut, a 53.4% probability of holding the rate, and a 7.3% probability of a cumulative 50bp cut, underscoring a tempered policy trajectory that can influence liquidity and risk pricing across crypto assets, including Bitcoin. As traders assess these policy probabilities, monetary policy expectations may shape near-term volatility. Investors should maintain disciplined risk management and monitor credible policy signals to gauge potential shifts in risk sentiment within the digital asset space. Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/fed-rate-outlook-via-cme-fedwatch-january-25bps-cut-odds-26-6-march-25bps-cut-39-4-unchanged-still-most-likely

Exploring how biases in the peer-review system impact researchers' choices, showing how principles of fairness relate to the production of scientific knowledge based on topic importance and hardness.