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Airdrop

An Airdrop is a distribution of free tokens to a community, typically used as a marketing tool or a reward for early protocol adopters and testers. In 2026, the "points-to-airdrop" model has matured into merit-based incentive programs that utilize Sybil-resistance and Proof-of-Humanity to filter out bots. Airdrops remain a primary method for decentralized governance (DAO) bootstrapping. Follow this tag for the latest on retroactive rewards, eligibility criteria, and how to participate in the most anticipated token distributions in the ecosystem.

5425 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Whale.io Launches Battlepass Season 3, Featuring $77,000 in Crypto Casino Rewards

Whale.io Launches Battlepass Season 3, Featuring $77,000 in Crypto Casino Rewards

Willemstad, Curaçao, 10th October 2025, Chainwire The post Whale.io Launches Battlepass Season 3, Featuring $77,000 in Crypto Casino Rewards appeared first on Live Bitcoin News.

Author: LiveBitcoinNews

2025/10/10

Polymarket Token Coming Soon? Founder Teases Launch as NYSE and MetaMask Deals Expand

Polymarket Token Coming Soon? Founder Teases Launch as NYSE and MetaMask Deals Expand

Polymarket is back in the headlines after founder Shayne Coplan posted a cryptic ticker string, $BTC, $ETH, $BNB, $SOL, $POLY, on X, stoking talk of a native Polymarket token and a potential airdrop for users. Related Reading: BNB’s Price Still Breaking Boundaries – Here’s Why It Surged Above The $1,300 Mark Community chatter is loud […]

Author: Bitcoinist

2025/10/10

Pendle received 2.32 million FF airdrops, worth approximately $294,000

Pendle received 2.32 million FF airdrops, worth approximately $294,000

PANews reported on October 10 that according to Lookonchain monitoring, the LSD yield agreement Pendle has just received 2.32 million FF tokens from Falcon Finance's Airdrop Miles Season 1 event, worth approximately US$294,000.

Author: PANews

2025/10/10

Status, Mechanics and How to Buy

Status, Mechanics and How to Buy

The post Status, Mechanics and How to Buy appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. What is TDOG, and how does it work? 21Shares’ Dogecoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), TDOG, recently appeared on the DTCC’s Active and Pre-Launch list under the ticker TDOG. The listing connects brokers and clearing institutions in preparation for potential trading, but it does not indicate regulatory approval. The proposed TDOG/21Shares Dogecoin (DOGE) trust is intended to be physically backed (i.e., holding Dogecoin directly) and to issue shares designed to track DOGE’s price (less fees). The fund calculates its daily net asset value (NAV) using a multi-exchange Dogecoin price index. During market hours, it also publishes an intraday indicative value approximately every 15 seconds, allowing traders to gauge how the shares align with the underlying asset. Creations and redemptions generally occur in cash. Authorized participants (AP) typically deliver cash, after which the sponsor instructs the prime broker (Coinbase) to purchase DOGE or use existing holdings, transferring it to Coinbase Custody Trust Company, which safekeeps the coins for the trust. The reverse flow applies to redemptions. Arbitrage by APs and market makers generally helps keep the share price aligned with NAV, though small intraday premiums or discounts may still occur, especially during periods of high volatility or limited liquidity. Two points of note:  Fees are paid in kind, so the amount of DOGE per share will gradually decline over time as sponsor fees are deducted. Until both US Securities and Exchange Commission filings are approved, TDOG will not trade. The Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) listing only indicates operational readiness, not regulatory clearance. Did you know? For TDOG, “pay in kind” means the sponsor fee is deducted in DOGE rather than cash. As a result, the amount of Dogecoin backing each share gradually decreases over time, even though the share price continues to track Dogecoin’s market value. DTCC listing is not SEC…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

Virtuals Protocol: Why are we launching Unicorn, our new launch pad?

Virtuals Protocol: Why are we launching Unicorn, our new launch pad?

Author: Virtuals Protocol Compiled by: TechFlow Why change? We believe that in the future agents will surpass humans, and global productivity will shift from human GDP to agent GDP (aGDP). Every part of Virtuals plays a role in this mission: Butler connects people with AI agents, making interaction and coordination seamless. ACP (Agentic Core Protocol) provides an economic foundation for agents, a permissionless transaction, trade, and collaboration layer. The creation of Virtuals Launchpad addresses the most critical aspect: co-ownership of agents. The original intention of Virtuals Launchpad was to enable anyone to co-own intelligent entities that shape the future AI economy. However, our first launch model, Genesis, failed to achieve this vision. Genesis starts with fairness. Every Virgen (Virtuals Protocol participant) can participate through points. The participation threshold is equal, the contribution threshold is high, and every project has visibility. Genesis pursues fairness, but like Icarus, it flies too high and eventually falls. Deep Tide Note: "Icarus" is a figure in Greek mythology who, along with his father, Daedalus, escaped Crete by crafting wings from wax and feathers. Daedalus warned Icarus not to fly too high (towards the sun) or too low (towards the sea). However, Icarus, overwhelmed by the thrill of flight, flew too high, and the sun's heat melted the wax on his wings, causing him to fall into the sea and drown. But fairness has turned into scoring. The entire system has become about collecting points, not faith. Virgens rotate from one platform to another, racking up points, staking, selling, and leaving. The cycle repeats. High-quality founders are unable to raise meaningful funding. The system lacks a built-in fundraising mechanism, with only small transaction fees, which has led talented developers to avoid the platform entirely. The result: Virgens' returns have dwindled, project quality has declined, and user confidence has been eroded. While fairness exists, it's unsustainable. We realized that if we wanted people to truly co-own the AI agents that define the future, we needed a new model—one that made ownership meaningful again, rewarded early conviction, attracted high-quality founders, and created a home for agents worth living. That’s why we built Unicorn, a launchpad system to nurture the next billion-dollar agency. What has changed? Unicorn is designed around belief, not convenience. It gives Virgens the freedom to take authentic positions and rewards them for good judgment. It provides founders with the capital to build long-term structures and grow based on results. What the she-wolf was to ancient Rome, the Unicorn is to the new era of AI ownership. How it works Unicorn is built for true faith, for Virgens who can discover faith early, and for founders who can prove faith. Every project starts small, allowing anyone to trade, and eventually scales to hundreds of billions of dollars. Early confidence will bring huge rewards. Founders are protected, held accountable, and only receive funding when they achieve real growth. That’s how we make winning meaningful again. i. Creation phase Founders need to pay a one-time creation fee of $100 VIRTUAL to start the project. Once created, a dedicated proxy launch page will be published on the Virtuals Protocol platform, displaying all core project details, token supply, founding team, and launch parameters. There is a minimum 24-hour evaluation window between page creation and public trading. This allows the community time to review, discuss, and evaluate each project before liquidity is released. Trading will then begin. ii. Start-up and Early-stage Transactions Transactions start at lower initial valuations, providing early-stage Virgens with asymmetric, often extraordinary upside to discover conviction before others. Anyone can participate directly through the Virtuals Protocol interface, with no pre-sales, whitelists, or allocation restrictions required. To maintain fairness, the Anti-Sniper Tax will be enabled at startup. Anti-Sniper Tax: The initial tax rate is 99% and decays linearly to 1% over time. All collected taxes will be used to repurchase proxy tokens to strengthen the market and reward genuine participants. The system prevents bot takeover and transforms volatility into constructive liquidity growth. iii. Team Distribution and Fundraising Mechanism 50% of the total supply is reserved for the founding team. 25% is distributed linearly through limited price sale fundraising, starting only when the project reaches 2 million FDV and continuing until 160 million FDV. These sales will be executed automatically and transparently as the project grows. Founders only receive benefits when they gain traction in the actual market, and funding is tied to performance, not promises. The remaining 25% will be unlocked one year after the TGE on a six-month linear vesting schedule, or when the project reaches 160 million FDV, whichever comes first. This dual team allocation structure ensures that founders receive both financial support and accountability, preventing them from selling out early and instead securing growth funding by building value over the long term. iv. Ecological Airdrop Each Unicorn release allocates 5% of the total supply to real Virgens: 2% allocated to $VIRTUAL stakers 3% allocated to active Virtuals ecosystem participants Airdrops are distributed weekly, and snapshots are linked to $VIRTUAL staking and Virtuals ecosystem activities. This means that every proxy launch will directly reward $VIRTUAL stakers and active Virtuals Protocol ecosystem participants. Transition from a points system As we transition from Genesis to Unicorn, airdrops will gradually shift from the old points system to the new $VIRTUAL staking and Virtuals ecosystem activity model. During the transition period, all existing points will still generate airdrops based on the number of points held, and will also receive rewards based on $VIRTUAL staking and Virtuals ecosystem activities. Prior to the launch of Unicorn, a snapshot of all existing points balances will be taken. Airdrop distribution will then follow a three-week transition plan until full migration to the new model is complete. Token Allocation Key The road ahead Genesis was an experiment, a bold attempt to ensure a fair and transparent product launch. It succeeded to a certain extent, but fairness alone is not enough. Small victories don't build a lasting market. Fire is the first spark of humanity, and agency ownership is the next. Unicorn rewards belief, provides funding for real developers, and makes ownership meaningful again - ownership that drives the rise of Agentic GDP and real problem solving. This is how we'll move forward: helping Virgens co-own the AI agents that define the next economy and attract founders who can build for the long term. When Virgens win, Virtuals win. This is the only way forward. Unicorn, stay tuned!

Author: PANews

2025/10/10

Monad Confirms Timing, but Token Allocation Details Remain a Mystery

Monad Confirms Timing, but Token Allocation Details Remain a Mystery

The post Monad Confirms Timing, but Token Allocation Details Remain a Mystery appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Monad, the Layer-1 blockchain, confirmed in a post on X that its long-anticipated token airdrop will take place next week. The airdrop claims portal will open on Oct. 14, however, Monad’s team has yet to disclose any information about the airdrop’s allocation. Monad has positioned itself as a high-performance Layer-1 chain that has EVM compatibility. Its forthcoming airdrop marks a step toward launching its native token, but without concrete details on how the tokens will be distributed, the community remains in a holding pattern, watching for the next update. The news comes as decentralized perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid listed MON-USD hyperps earlier on Wednesday, enabling traders to take long or short positions on the native token ahead of its public distribution. Based on hyperliquid trading of the MON-USD hyperps, priced near $0.12, Monad’s fully diluted valuation (FDV) is near $12 billion, with 100 billion MON tokens expected to be distributed through the airdrop. Read more: Hyperliquid Lists MON-USD Perpetuals Ahead of Hotly Anticipated Monad Airdrop Source: https://www.coindesk.com/business/2025/10/09/monad-confirms-airdrop-timing-but-allocation-details-remain-under-wraps

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

In the remaining three months, what other major projects are about to issue tokens?

In the remaining three months, what other major projects are about to issue tokens?

Author: Cookie During the past National Day holiday, the meme coin market on the BSC chain was in full swing. With the cryptocurrency market so active even during the long holiday, everyone must be eager to see what's next. So, what upcoming coin offerings can we look forward to, allowing us to secure more funds and participate in the subsequent market? BlockBeats organizes the projects that are about to launch tokens for you. Meteora On September 30, the official Solana ecosystem liquidity protocol Meteora posted on social media that the project will launch TGE on October 23, and the token name will be MET. On October 8th, Meteora announced the MET token economics, with 48% of the total supply slated for circulation at the TGE. According to Meteora's plan, 20% of tokens will be distributed to Mercurial stakers, 15% to Meteora users (via the LP incentive program), 3% to the Launchpads and Launchpool ecosystem, 2% to off-chain contributors, 3% to the Jupiter staking incentive program, 3% to centralized exchanges, market makers, and 2% to M3M3 stakers. Of the remaining tokens, 18% will be allocated to the team, with a six-year linear vesting period, and 34% will be allocated to the Meteora Reserve, also with a six-year linear vesting period. Monad On October 9, Monad tweeted that the airdrop claim portal will open on October 14 (Tuesday). Currently, the Monad token $MON is trading at approximately $0.13 on Hyperliquid's pre-market futures. On September 11th, Monad co-founder Keone Hon stated on the X social platform that the initial total supply of the Monad chain's native Gas token will be 100 billion. On April 9, 2024, Fortune magazine reported that Layer 1 blockchain Monad Labs completed US$225 million in financing. This round of financing was led by Paradigm, with participation from IOSG Ventures, SevenX Ventures, Electric Capital and Greenoaks. Abstract In May of this year, Pudgy Penguins CEO Luca Netz hinted during a livestream that the Layer 2 network Abstract Chain might hold its TGE before the end of the year. “Before the end of the year means September, October, November, and December, so users still have at least three months.” Abstract, formerly known as Flame, was acquired by Igloo, the parent company of Pudgy Penguins, and the huge success of Pudgy Penguins' token $PENGU. NFT players and the entire market have been looking forward to Abstract, a new chain. Pharos In a community AMA in early October, Pharos officials revealed that they plan to conduct TGE in the first quarter of next year. Pharos is a RWA layer 1 public blockchain with Ant Group background. CEO Alex Zhang was previously CEO of @zan_team, Ant Group's Web3 technology company, and also served as CTO of AntChain. CTO Wish Wu was previously CSO (Chief Security Officer) of @zan_team, Ant Group's Web3 technology company. On November 9, 2024, Pharos announced the completion of an $8 million seed round of financing, with participation from Faction, Hack VC, SNZ Holding, Reforge, Dispersion Capital, Hash Global, Generative Ventures, Legend Star, MH Ventures, Zion, and Chorus One Ventures. On September 1st of this year, Yunfeng Financial announced a strategic partnership agreement with Ant Financial and a strategic investment in Pharos. The two parties will collaborate on compliant development of cutting-edge areas such as the tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs) and Web3 through Pharos' high-performance public blockchain platform. OpenSea As the former king of the NFT market, OpenSea is finally going to issue coins. On September 9, OpenSea CMO Adam Hollander revealed in an article published on Twitter that the OpenSea Foundation will release the specific details of TGE in early October. MetaMask Like OpenSea, MetaMask was once the king of the wallet market and is finally launching its own token. On October 9th, MetaMask announced the launch of perpetual contract trading functionality, along with the MetaMask Rewards Program, which will launch at the end of October. MetaMask is introducing a points system and tiered rewards to reward on-chain trading activity. Users will earn points for every token swap and perpetual contract trade, as well as for referring others. In the future, users will also earn points for spending with the MetaMask card and holding mUSD, expanding rewards across the entire ecosystem. The rewards program, which runs quarterly over three months, offers rewards worth over $30 million in LINEA tokens, perpetual contract fee discounts, and point bonuses. Season 1 offers bonuses for redemptions on the Linea Network, as well as redemptions and bridge operations via MetaMask Mobile. Points accumulate into future seasons, which will offer more exclusive benefits, including the upcoming MetaMask token. Rainbow On September 23, according to official news, the Web3 mobile wallet Rainbow announced that it will issue the token RNBW in Q4. The specific airdrop and distribution details will be announced later by the official Twitter account. Football.Fun On October 9, according to the official news of Base chain sports prediction application Football.Fun, its parent company Sport.Fun will launch the token $FUN in Q4 and is expected to conduct an airdrop in Q4. The token will enjoy a share of the company's prediction market revenue. In addition, the platform also plans to expand its products to the basketball and football markets. Limitless On July 1, Cointelegraph reported that the Base chain prediction market Limitless completed a $4 million strategic round of financing, with participation from Coinbase Ventures, 1confirmation, Maelstrom, Collider, Node Capital, Paper Ventures, Public Works, Punk DAO and WAGMI Ventures. Limitless previously completed a $3 million seed round of financing, bringing its total financing to $7 million. The new funds will be used to prepare for the upcoming TGE. The latest points activity for this project will end in January next year, and there is a probability that TGE will be held in the first quarter of next year. Lighter On October 2nd, Perp DEX Lighter officially launched its Ethereum L2-based mainnet, fully opening up after eight months of private beta testing. The first quarter of the points program has concluded, with the second quarter running until the end of 2025. Currently, the probability on Polymarket that Lighter will issue tokens before 11:59 PM EST on December 31, 2025 is 84%. Grvt On October 8th, the decentralized perpetual swap trading platform Grvt announced on social media that the first quarter airdrop query has been launched, allowing users to view the airdrop distribution ratio. Early users and active contributors from the first quarter are particularly rewarded. The second season airdrop activity is still ongoing and the TGE is expected to be launched in the first quarter of 2026. On September 19, Grvt announced the completion of a US$19 million Series A financing round, led by ZKsync and Further Ventures, with participation from EigenCloud and 500 Global.

Author: PANews

2025/10/10

Crypto Prediction Market Outlook: If Stablecoins Solve “Payment”, Can Prediction Markets Solve “Truth”?

Crypto Prediction Market Outlook: If Stablecoins Solve “Payment”, Can Prediction Markets Solve “Truth”?

Introduction: Stablecoins have proven crypto's "payment value," while prediction markets are attempting to prove its "information value." Within the cryptocurrency market, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have seen soaring trading volumes, making them one of the sectors closest to real-world applications. However, outside the market, prediction markets are still viewed as gambling, struggling to gain mainstream acceptance. This article will analyze the current state of prediction markets, their path to breakthroughs, and future trends, exploring whether they can become the next cornerstone connecting crypto and reality, following stablecoins. Author: Shigeru CGV Research Over the past two years, prediction markets have become the most controversial, yet most promising, "real-world application" in the crypto industry. Within the industry, it has already spread beyond leading platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, with trading volume climbing rapidly. However, outside of the industry, it is still viewed as gambling, making it difficult for mainstream investors to incorporate it into their asset allocation. However, the question arises: Can prediction markets, like stablecoins, truly break through the boundaries of their niche and become the next cornerstone connecting the crypto industry with the real world? Can they become the next internet-level fintech product? Crypto Prediction Market Ecosystem (Messari) Analysis of the current situation: prosperity within the circle and the cognitive gap outside the circle Why is it that the same market is so hot within the crypto community, yet so rarely seen outside? The prediction market is a prime example of this phenomenon. On the one hand, the popularity in the circle continues to rise. Platforms represented by Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold have established relatively stable traffic and narratives in the crypto community. Crypto Prediction Market Share Statistics (Dune, 20251006) With its simple interface and USD stablecoin settlement, Polymarket has become a key venue for discussing events such as the US election, macroeconomic data, and crypto airdrops. By 2025, Polymarket's cumulative trading volume had exceeded $7.5 billion, with August's volume exceeding $618 million, primarily driven by political events and macroeconomic forecasts. During the 2024 US election, Polymarket gave Trump a 99% chance of victory at 1:30 AM Eastern Time, while Fox News didn't announce the results until 1:47 AM, and other media outlets delayed even longer. Continuous arbitrage and the rising marginal cost of shifting prices away from fair value make prediction market errors short-lived and easily correctable. Manifold, with its light entertainment model of "social + prediction," has attracted over 200,000 users, becoming a "new voting pool" for community users to obtain information and express their opinions. However, in 2025, Manifold's daily active users fell to a historic low of 886, highlighting the challenges of user retention. In addition, Kalshi has emerged as a compliant platform, with a trading volume of US$1.3 billion in September 2025, accounting for 62.2% of global prediction market activities and dominating the market in sports event predictions. On the other hand, awareness outside the circle is still insufficient. The general public often equates prediction markets with gambling, lacking an appreciation for their value in information aggregation and probabilistic pricing. Even when mainstream US media began occasionally citing Polymarket data, prediction markets remained largely unknown. For example, a 2025 report in The Economist noted that low liquidity hindered participation by large investors, limiting market credibility. The lack of regulatory compliance and authoritative endorsements hindered mainstream adoption. Despite Kalshi recording $208 million in trading volume during the March Madness event in March 2025, the public still viewed it as gambling rather than an informational tool. Cross-circle expansion strategy: multi-dimensional integration and innovation path If the prediction market truly wants to break out, it needs more than just technological upgrades; it needs to find new narratives and entry points. Politics, macroeconomics, entertainment and sports, and even the native Web3 ecosystem are all potential breakout points. 1. Anchored in real-world events: Traffic portals for politics, economics, and entertainment The prediction market naturally has a strong correlation with real events, and sectors such as politics, economy, entertainment and sports are the best entry points for it to break through the circle. Political events such as the US presidential election, the UK's Brexit referendum, and the probability of a bill passing are all difficult for traditional polls to accurately predict. Prediction markets, due to their price-based mechanism, often provide more real-time indicators that are closer to true probabilities. For example, the 2025 Federal Reserve interest rate decision market on Polymarket saw trading volume exceeding $50 million. Users hedged their risk by betting on the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike. Macroeconomics: Sensitive financial market events such as CPI releases, non-farm payroll data, and Federal Reserve interest rate decisions are key focus for institutions and investors. Prediction markets can provide a real-time representation of market expectations. During the 2025 carry trade unwind in the yen, oracle-based prediction markets predicted a 15% depreciation of the yen several weeks in advance, while the stock market was slower to react. Entertainment and Sports: Events like the Oscars, the World Cup, and the Olympics command widespread public attention, naturally attracting a significant number of users outside of entertainment circles to prediction market platforms. For example, in the 2025 prediction market on Kalshi regarding Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's engagement, a trader bought a contract at $0.37 and ultimately made a profit of $50,000. This garnered widespread media coverage and drove an influx of users from the entertainment industry. 2. Media and Public Opinion Collaboration: Transforming from Data Sources to Authoritative Indicators If the prediction market is to break through its circle, it must become a referenced data source. Polling Alternatives: In the United States, some media outlets have begun using Polymarket prices as a supplement or even a substitute for polling. Unlike traditional polling, which relies on questionnaires, prediction market prices reflect "real money bets," thus providing greater signal value. In 2025, Yale Insights reported an increase in citations of political prediction markets, but warned of caution regarding their accuracy. Real-time Probability Indicators: News reports that cite real-time prediction market data, such as "The market indicates a 72% probability of a September Fed rate hike," will greatly enhance the authority and reach of prediction markets. For example, in 2025, Barron's magazine directly cited Kalshi data as an indicator of event predictions when reporting on March Madness. 3. Deep Integration of the Web3 Ecosystem: Derivative Tools and Social Closed Loops DeFi Integration: Prediction markets can become part of on-chain derivatives, providing users with risk hedging tools. For example, they can hedge against uncertain events like interest rates, policies, and even token listings. In 2025, Polymarket's integration with DeFi platforms enabled users to hedge on-chain in the Bitcoin price prediction market, generating $430 million in trading volume. SocialFi integration: KOLs can initiate prediction contracts, allowing fans to directly participate and creating a revenue-and-traffic cycle. The emerging platform Melee raised $3.5 million in 2025 and launched a "viral prediction market," allowing users to create social prediction events without any barriers to entry. RWA Integration: Prediction markets are inherently similar to derivatives, and in the future, they could potentially be integrated with RWA (real-world asset) derivatives to become alternative on-chain trading tools. Kalshi's attempt to integrate RWA in 2025 helped push its trading volume above Polymarket for three consecutive weeks. Private company tokenization: Tokenizing private companies presents significant challenges, including founder resistance, legal risks, spurious "governance" rights, and insufficient liquidity. Prediction markets can more easily address similar needs. By creating markets on company events (such as the probability of a successful financing), users can indirectly speculate on private assets without the complexities of tokenization. 4. Technical experience upgrade: user-friendliness and lower barriers to entry AMM + NFT: Utilizing automated market making mechanisms and NFT share-based design, it makes "buying into an idea" more intuitive and lowers the barrier to entry. Manifold's NFT-based prediction share attracted new users in 2025, but overall activity still needs to be improved. Lightweight entry: Through Telegram bots and WeChat mini-programs, participation in the prediction market is as simple as "initiating a vote," helping outsiders quickly gain access. Polymarket's mobile optimization is expected to drive 20% user growth by 2025. Analysis of Development Bottlenecks: Regulation, Mobility, and Narrative Every boom is bound to encounter bottlenecks. The challenge for prediction markets isn't whether they have value, but whether they can sustain themselves. Regulation, liquidity, and narrative are three crucial hurdles. 1. Regulatory Gray Area: The Boundary Game Between Gambling and Derivatives Prediction markets exist in a nebulous area between gambling and financial derivatives. In the US, the CFTC's approval of Kalshi set a precedent, but most platforms still operate in a gray area. In September 2025, the CFTC approved Polymarket to re-enter the US market, but Commissioner Kristin Johnson warned of insufficient regulatory safeguards and a lack of market visibility. While Hong Kong, Singapore, and other places offer potential regulatory windows, they currently lack clear policies. Regulatory uncertainty limits the ability of prediction markets to attract institutional users. For example, PrizePicks obtained NFA FCM registration in 2025, launching a compliant prediction market. However, the industry as a whole still faces legal challenges, potentially reaching the Supreme Court. 2. Liquidity Shortcomings: Lack of Fund Pool Size and Network Effect Most prediction markets have a concentrated pool of funding for a few popular events, leaving long-tail markets with a lack of liquidity, leading to price inefficiencies. Without attracting larger capital inflows, prediction markets will struggle to achieve the "network effect" of information aggregation. The 2025 report shows that low liquidity prevents large hedging demands from being met, impacting accuracy. For example, Manifold's long-tail market has fewer than 1,000 active users, making it difficult to support complex forecasts. 3. Narrative Cognitive Bias: The Difficulty of Transforming from “Gambling” to “Information Market” The public's stereotype of prediction markets remains that they are "gambling" rather than "probabilistic information markets." Without the endorsement of authoritative institutions, this narrative will be difficult to quickly reverse. Media reports in 2025 emphasized that despite a surge in trading volume in prediction markets, a lack of regulation has led to a lack of public trust. Future Trend Outlook: Mainstream Integration and Long-term Value Positioning Stablecoins have solved the payment problem, and the next thing that can prove the true value of cryptocurrencies may be prediction markets. It may not be now, but the direction is clear. To achieve true cross-circle dissemination, prediction markets must go beyond the self-circulation of crypto users and be embedded in a broader narrative. Media datafication: Becoming a real-time forecast indicator in reporting Prediction markets need to become a commonplace probabilistic indicator in news coverage, fostering public acceptance of market prices as a proxy for "collective expectations." A 2025 KPMG report shows that prediction markets continue to grow in popularity, with media citations increasing by 30% year-over-year. In the future, data from Polymarket and Kalshi will continue to appear in mainstream news and financial programming. Journalists must reference prediction market probabilities if they want to maintain credibility when covering elections, macroeconomics, or sporting events. Regulatory evolution: Compliance opens the door to institutional funding The CFTC's technical upgrades and feedback mechanisms are expected to be completed by October 2025. Polymarket's return to the US market and Kalshi's victory in the regulatory battle mean that the prediction market will have a clearer path forward in terms of event contract listing, clearing methods, and institutional capital participation. This not only symbolizes "legitimization" but will also become a prerequisite for institutional capital to enter the market. Institutionalization of liquidity: the influx of professional funds and trading teams As regulations become clearer, professional funds will be the first to enter the market. This trend has already begun to emerge, from the launch of a pure prediction market fund with tens of millions of dollars under management to quantitative institutions establishing dedicated prediction market trading departments (not only for market making but also for directional trading). SIG's provision of market making services for Kalshi is a clear precedent. Product Financialization: Derivativeization and Terminalization of Prediction Market The ultimate form of prediction markets is likely to evolve into a new type of derivatives exchange. Experts predict that by 2030, the global prediction market could reach $1 trillion. Simultaneously, prediction market data will gradually integrate with professional terminals like Bloomberg and Refinitiv, offering real-time quotes, historical records, alerts, charts, and native API support for Excel, Python, and news editing systems. At that point, editors and traders will be able to directly process prediction market probability data, just as they do with stock prices, interest rates, and exchange rates. In summary, the true value of prediction markets lies not only in enabling people to place bets but also in giving information a price. Stablecoins have already proven their real-world value as a payment method, and the next area to be verified may be the pricing of information. The current situation of the prediction market is similar to that of the early stablecoin market. Whoever can understand its potential may stand on the next cornerstone of the industry in advance. Note: This article is a CGV research report and does not constitute any investment advice. It is for reference only.

Author: PANews

2025/10/10

Pumpd Meme Coin Pumps Every Time BTC Gains 1%: Daily Presale Rewards for Early Adopters

Pumpd Meme Coin Pumps Every Time BTC Gains 1%: Daily Presale Rewards for Early Adopters

A new crypto project, Pumpd (PUMPD), is tying its rise to Bitcoin price in a way that could help it see some big and consistent increases within a short time. It has built a mechanism that could create constant supply shocks to push the PUMPD token price higher over time. On top of that, early.. The post Pumpd Meme Coin Pumps Every Time BTC Gains 1%: Daily Presale Rewards for Early Adopters appeared first on 99Bitcoins .

Author: 99Bitcoins

2025/10/10

Month of TGEs? Polymarket and MetaMask to Release Tokens?

Month of TGEs? Polymarket and MetaMask to Release Tokens?

A torrent of high-profile TGEs is about to reshape Web3. The prediction giant Polymarket and the leading wallet MetaMask are both gearing up for token launches, joined by the well-funded Monad, signaling a critical phase of decentralization and liquidity for the crypto market. Polymarket Founder Hints at Token Future Shayne Coplan, the founder of the dominant predictions platform Polymarket, is actively fueling speculation about the launch of a native POLY token. The strategic move directly follows a period of unprecedented institutional investment and rapid platform growth, signaling a likely transition to a more decentralized, token-driven structure. Coplan initiated the latest round of speculation through a public post on X. He listed the tickers for leading crypto assets BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL and concluded with the highly suggestive inclusion of “POLY ”. This teaser followed a reported feature of Polymarket as a “Top 5 mindshare” project, positioning POLY for major market recognition at launch.  $BTC$ETH$BNB$SOL$POLY https://t.co/HmMobU6nBh — Shayne Coplan (@shayne_coplan) October 8, 2025 The anticipation for the token launch comes amid substantial attention from traditional finance. Polymarket has already processed nearly $19 billion in cumulative trading volume since 2020. More critically, the platform secured a commitment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the NYSE, for a potential $2 billion investment. This colossal deal values Polymarket at a staggering $9 billion post-money. Since 2020, Polymarket has processed nearly $19 billion in cumulative trading volume, underscoring its rapid growth and pursuit of an optimal business model driven by community demand. MetaMask Gears Up for the Mega-Airdrop With its massive user base, the world’s most popular self-custody wallet is poised to launch its highly anticipated MASK token, widely regarded as the largest airdrop in crypto history. MetaMask’s parent company, ConsenSys, recently confirmed the MASK launch is coming, which enhances the platform’s decentralization. Simultaneously, MetaMask announced a points-based Rewards program tied to the future MASK token and debuted new perpetual trading features. MetaMask will integrate the Polymarket prediction markets into the wallet app later this year. The MASK TGE will mark a pivotal moment in Web3 adoption. By transitioning its over-100-million user base to an incentivized, community-governed model, MetaMask is setting a new standard. The planned integration of Polymarket’s prediction markets into the wallet app later this year serves a powerful dual purpose: it expands utility for MetaMask users while giving Polymarket instant access to the world’s largest self-custody audience. Learn more: MetaMask Announces Overhaul, New Features and More Monad Confirms MON Airdrop Date Monad Confirms MON Airdrop Date Monad is set to join the list of confirmed token generation events, with the claim portal for its MON airdrop scheduled to open on October 14. The project is one of the most financially significant crypto launches of the year, backed by over $240 million in total funding, including a massive $225 million Series A round led by Paradigm in March 2024. This immense financial backing, coupled with the approaching TGE date, has driven staggering pre-launch speculation. The MON token, trading on decentralized perpetual markets, has been priced at an implied Fully Diluted Valuation ranging between $13 billion and $18.9 billion, rivaling major established Layer-1 chains. Despite the firm date, the project’s allocation rules remain strictly confidential. This scarcity of detail, including eligibility criteria, the total airdrop pool size, and the rewards for long-term test network activity, has spurred a rush of activity among users trying to finalize last-minute tasks on the testnet. Monad is an EVM-compatible Layer-1 chain that utilizes innovative parallel execution to achieve high transaction speeds of up to 10,000 transactions per second with sub-second finality. Learn more: Best Upcoming Airdrops to Watch in 2025 With Polymarket, MetaMask, and Monad leading a surge of TGEs, the airdrop is more than just an event. The combined impact of their token launches will drive liquidity and user engagement. Investors should note the opportunity to gain ownership in this top-tier Web3 infrastructure. The post Month of TGEs? Polymarket and MetaMask to Release Tokens? appeared first on NFT Plazas.

Author: Coinstats

2025/10/10

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