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A crypto Index provides a way for investors to gain diversified exposure to a specific basket of digital assets through a single tokenized product. These indices often track specific sectors, such as DeFi, DePIN, or RWA, and are automatically rebalanced via smart contracts. In 2026, AI-managed thematic indices have become the gold standard for passive investing, allowing users to track the "blue chips" of the Web3 economy without manual portfolio management. This tag covers index methodology, rebalancing frequency, and the benefits of diversified crypto baskets.

26344 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Bitcoin Price Prediction: $123K And Beyond? Depends On…

Bitcoin Price Prediction: $123K And Beyond? Depends On…

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: $123K And Beyond? Depends On… appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin (BTC USD) price was consolidating around $110,000 in late September 2025. Analysts debated whether it could break above $123,000 in the coming months as political forecasts conflicted with technical indicators. The discussion highlighted the divide between speculative optimism and probability-based modeling. Bitcoin Price Faced Political Forecasts Eric Trump predicted that BTC USD could stage a parabolic rally within three months. He suggested that the Bitcoin price might reach $1 Million by the end of 2025. His statement drew attention because it tied a political figure’s outlook directly to market expectations. Trump’s forecast rested on two arguments. First, he pointed to the launch of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in March 2025 under the Trump administration. This program was intended to secure Bitcoin reserves at a national level and reinforce the United States’ role in digital asset leadership. Second, he referred to Bitcoin’s historical tendency to perform strongly during the fourth quarter, noting previous periods of late-year rallies. Source: X However, prediction markets did not reflect the same confidence. Data from Polymarket assigned only a 5% probability that Bitcoin would exceed $125,000 by September 2025. This probability measure illustrated a sharp contrast between politically driven expectations and statistical pricing models used by market participants. Analysts noted that such political statements often influenced sentiment but rarely provided reliable guidance. Market structures and technical setups typically carried more weight in shaping actual price behavior than political endorsements. Bitcoin Price Showed Oversold Signals Technical analysts reviewed chart structures to assess near-term movement. Kamran Asghar said that BTC maintained critical support near $107,300. He argued that this level was important because holding it created a foundation for potential recovery. Asghar described a scenario he called a “three-wave pump.” He said this pattern was consistent with prior rally structures and could potentially push the Bitcoin (BTC…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/09/29

As Bitcoin Fear Grips Markets, GBC Mining Offers Stable Cloud Mining Returns for Passive Income Seekers

As Bitcoin Fear Grips Markets, GBC Mining Offers Stable Cloud Mining Returns for Passive Income Seekers

The crypto market's recent turbulence has investors searching for stability. With the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index sliding into fear territory and BTC dropping below critical support levels, many are reconsidering their investment strategies.

Author: Cryptodaily

2025/09/29

These Should Definitely Be Monitored in Altcoins This Week

These Should Definitely Be Monitored in Altcoins This Week

The post These Should Definitely Be Monitored in Altcoins This Week appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Cryptocurrency analyst The DeFi Investor highlighted the important project updates and macro developments that emerged in the new week. According to the analyst, the main topics that may affect the markets are listed as follows: Sonic (S): Sonic Summit will begin on September 29th. Important announcements are expected to be made during the event. Pendle (PENDLE) & XPL (XPL): Pendle is scheduled to launch on Plasma in the coming days. Falcon Finance (FF): The project’s native token, FF, will be launched on September 29. Ethereum (ETH): The testnet for Ethereum’s next major upgrade, “Fusaka,” will go live on October 1. EtherFi (ETHFI): There is talk that a significant compliance update concerning token holders may be announced during the analyst call on October 1st. Huma Finance (HUMA): The platform is expected to make a big announcement on October 1st. Bitcoin (BTC): A total of $1.6 billion will be distributed to FTX creditors on September 30. Anoma (XAN): Anoma’s native token, XAN, will be launched on September 29. On the macro front, the possibility of a US government shutdown is noteworthy. According to Polymarket data, the probability of a shutdown next week has risen to 57%. *This is not investment advice. Follow our Telegram and Twitter account now for exclusive news, analytics and on-chain data! Source: https://en.bitcoinsistemi.com/these-should-definitely-be-monitored-in-altcoins-this-week/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/09/29

S&P nears dot-com era valuations, but Wall Street believes this time is different

S&P nears dot-com era valuations, but Wall Street believes this time is different

The post S&P nears dot-com era valuations, but Wall Street believes this time is different appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The S&P 500 is now trading near levels it hasn’t touched since the dot-com bubble, and Wall Street isn’t running scared, but adjusting. According to Yahoo Finance, strategists across the board are now questioning what counts as “normal” in this market. Valuations that once screamed danger are now being treated as the new standard, as the stock market remains driven by AI, megacap earnings, and investors chasing growth. Savita Subramanian, equity strategist at Bank of America, told clients this week that maybe it’s time to accept these high stock multiples as the new baseline. “Perhaps we should anchor to today’s multiples as the new normal rather than expecting mean reversion to a bygone era,” she wrote in a Wednesday note. Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, said that the S&P 500 trades at a 40% premium to its long-term forward average, but when measured over just the last five years, that gap drops to a high single-digit level. That five-year window coincides with the rise of tech giants, who’ve dominated both market cap and earnings. Powell shares his concern while strategists push back The Federal Reserve is aware of the heat. Speaking last week, Chair Jerome Powell said markets look “fairly highly valued.” That drew comparisons to Alan Greenspan’s 1996 “irrational exuberance” speech, delivered more than three years before the bubble burst. Despite Powell’s caution, most strategists aren’t seeing this as a bubble. Sonali Basak, chief investment strategist at iCapital, said in a LinkedIn post Friday that investors shouldn’t try to time the top. She quoted Barry Ritholtz, chief investment officer at Ritholtz Wealth Management, who warned: “If you’re an investor trying to guess where the top is, your odds are very much against you.” He reminded readers that after Greenspan’s warning, the Nasdaq rallied fivefold before crashing.…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/09/29

The S&P 500 is nearing dot-com era valuations, but strategists argue it's the new normal

The S&P 500 is nearing dot-com era valuations, but strategists argue it's the new normal

The S&P 500 is now trading near levels it hasn’t touched since the dot-com bubble, and Wall Street isn’t running scared, but adjusting. According to Yahoo Finance, strategists across the board are now questioning what counts as “normal” in this market. Valuations that once screamed danger are now being treated as the new standard, as […]

Author: Cryptopolitan

2025/09/29

Shutdown threat, Q3 close, and jobs data put markets on edge this week

Shutdown threat, Q3 close, and jobs data put markets on edge this week

The post Shutdown threat, Q3 close, and jobs data put markets on edge this week appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Financial markets are entering yet another tense week, with the U.S. government shutdown countdown, the close of the third quarter, and the release of September’s jobs data all landing at the same time. All major averages barely moved last week, even after President Donald Trump announced fresh tariffs late Thursday, but investors now face a week loaded with events that carry much heavier risks. Tuesday is the official end of Q3, a period that saw the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq hit all-time highs. At the same time, Washington is running out of time to avoid a shutdown, with the government set to close on Wednesday afternoon unless a funding deal is struck. Congress struggles while jobs data hangs in balance Economists on Wall Street expect 43,000 new non-farm payroll jobs in September and unemployment steady at 4.3%. Oxford Economics predicts a stronger number, saying the economy likely added 85,000 jobs in September, which “should reassure the Federal Reserve that the labor market isn’t deteriorating, allowing the central bank to keep policy on hold at its October meeting,” according to them. The risk of withheld data has raised concerns at the Fed. Last week, Lisa Cook, a sitting Fed governor, continued her legal fight against the Trump administration’s attempt to remove her from the board over allegations tied to 2021 mortgage fraud. Her legal team urged the Supreme Court to reject the effort, and she was backed in an amicus brief filed by former Fed chairs Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen. The shutdown also raises the threat of real job losses. Oxford Economics noted that in a typical shutdown, about 40% of federal workers are furloughed with back pay restored afterward. This time the White House has signaled agencies to prepare for layoffs, not furloughs. Economic calendar and Wall Street…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/09/29

Economic calendar and Wall Street expectations brings tension to the trading floor

Economic calendar and Wall Street expectations brings tension to the trading floor

Financial markets are entering yet another tense week, with the U.S. government shutdown countdown, the close of the third quarter, and the release of September’s jobs data all landing at the same time. All major averages barely moved last week, even after President Donald Trump announced fresh tariffs late Thursday, but investors now face a week loaded with events that carry much heavier risks. Tuesday is the official end of Q3, a period that saw the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq hit all-time highs. At the same time, Washington is running out of time to avoid a shutdown, with the government set to close on Wednesday afternoon unless a funding deal is struck. Congress struggles while jobs data hangs in balance Economists on Wall Street expect 43,000 new non-farm payroll jobs in September and unemployment steady at 4.3%. Oxford Economics predicts a stronger number, saying the economy likely added 85,000 jobs in September, which “should reassure the Federal Reserve that the labor market isn’t deteriorating, allowing the central bank to keep policy on hold at its October meeting,” according to them. The risk of withheld data has raised concerns at the Fed. Last week, Lisa Cook, a sitting Fed governor, continued her legal fight against the Trump administration’s attempt to remove her from the board over allegations tied to 2021 mortgage fraud. Her legal team urged the Supreme Court to reject the effort, and she was backed in an amicus brief filed by former Fed chairs Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen. The shutdown also raises the threat of real job losses. Oxford Economics noted that in a typical shutdown, about 40% of federal workers are furloughed with back pay restored afterward. This time the White House has signaled agencies to prepare for layoffs, not furloughs. Economic calendar and Wall Street expectations brings tension to the trading floor The market will also react to a stacked calendar of economic releases. Monday brings Dallas Fed manufacturing activity data. On Tuesday, we will be awaiting the FHFA house price index for July, the MNI Chicago PMI for September, JOLTS job openings for August, Conference Board consumer confidence for September, and Dallas Fed services activity. Wednesday features MBA mortgage applications, ADP private payrolls, S&P Global US manufacturing PMI, ISM manufacturing PMI, construction spending for August, and Wards total vehicle sales for September. Thursday will include Challenger job cuts for September, initial jobless claims for the week ending Sept. 27, factory orders for August, and the final durable goods orders reading. Friday, if not derailed by the shutdown, will see the nonfarm payrolls report, unemployment rate, average hourly earnings month-on-month and year-on-year, the S&P Global US services PMI final reading, and the ISM services index. Earnings are thin, with Carnival Corporation, Jefferies, Vail Resorts, and Diginex reporting Monday, Paychex and Lamb Weston reporting Tuesday, and Nike reporting Wednesday, which makes it the most notable corporate release of the week. Thursday and Friday bring no significant earnings updates, as major banks won’t begin Q3 earnings until mid-October, meaning the market must ride through political and economic turbulence without new corporate anchors. Despite the uncertainty, the S&P 500 finished Friday’s session above 6,600. Investors have not forgotten the shock of Trump’s “Liberation Day” announcements earlier this year. Losses tied to that moment were wiped out in a month. Meanwhile, volatility has collapsed since, with the VIX falling from above 50 in April to the mid-teens on Friday. Since July 1, it has traded above 20 only once, as Cryptopolitan just reported. After rebounding in May, the S&P 500 climbed back to record levels in an orderly fashion. Plus hedge funds use them as well, especially for short-term trading, according to Robert Harlow, associate head of global multi-asset research at T. Rowe. “If you’re a macro hedge fund that isn’t set up to trade all types of option structures or something, you just get in, get out.” If you're reading this, you’re already ahead. Stay there with our newsletter.

Author: Coinstats

2025/09/29

Investors increase VIX holdings while costs mount

Investors increase VIX holdings while costs mount

Wall Street traders have driven funds tied to the VIX beyond $1 billion this year, with money rushing into exchange-traded products that track Cboe Volatility Index futures as investors brace for turbulence in stocks after a record rally. The Barclays iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN, the biggest of these vehicles, has grown by more than 300% in 2025. The appeal is straightforward. If the stock rally breaks, volatility will soar and these products will pay out. But while they wait for that moment, investors face steep costs that eat away at returns. These costs are built into how the funds work. Bloomberg Intelligence senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas called them “a chainsaw — very effective at certain jobs, but it can cut your arm off.” He was referring to the way the funds lose money when market swings expected in the future exceed those happening now. Timing is everything. Anyone who bought the Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF on April 1 before sweeping US tariffs hit would have tripled their money by selling on April 8. But holding that same fund for a year would have produced a 78% loss. This risk hasn’t stopped inflows. VXX is down 32% with $1 billion in assets and 312% net inflows. UVIX is down 78% with $510 million and 215% inflows. UVXY is down 57% with $690 million and 150% inflows. VIXY is down 33% with $343 million and 115% inflows. All four funds show how money keeps flowing into VIX products even as their performance bleeds. Investors increase VIX holdings while costs mount Michael Thompson, co-portfolio manager at Little Harbor Advisors, said “these can increase in price pretty dramatically, almost like an option but without an expiration date.” He added that if a correction doesn’t happen on schedule, “you can still hold on to your long vol ETP shares.” These vehicles offer a basic hedge for investors who own stocks because the VIX tends to rise when the S&P 500 falls. Unlike the 2018 rush into short-volatility trades that led to “Volmageddon,” the current surge in hedging isn’t expected to set off a market shock. Retail traders are “looking to do something cautious, something protective,” said Rocky Fishman, founder of the research firm Asym 500. He estimated that 40% of open interest in VIX futures is now held by exchange-traded products. But carrying these bets costs real money. UVIX charges an expense ratio of 2.8% and now holds two VIX futures expiring in October and November. Each day it sells part of October and buys November until October expires, then shifts November into December. Because October trades below November, the fund sells low and buys high, draining cash. Rolling contracts also pushes down the front-month future and lifts the next-month bet. “They have to sell the front one and buy the second one on a daily basis to keep their expiration at a weighted 30 days,” said Matthew Thompson, Michael’s brother and co-portfolio manager. “It stands to reason that the front two months should steepen, which, ironically, increases the carrying cost of those instruments.” Strategists outline VIX curve trades as hedge funds join rush This rolling problem has happened before. More than a decade ago, retail investors piled into the United States Oil Fund ETF to mimic crude gains but saw returns trail spot prices. Today, implied volatility (the market’s view of future price swings) stays muted as stocks grind higher. Small realized moves make options cheaper and hold down the spot VIX index and front-month futures. That has left the VIX futures curve steep, with both opportunities and risks. Strategists at Societe Generale SA have suggested trades to exploit the discount known as contango, noting that the curve is also concave — it steepens near expiration. One idea is selling the near-term VIX future and buying the next month because the front contract tends to sink faster. But there’s a clear hazard. Brian Fleming and Kunal Thakkar said “the main risk is a sharp and volatile equity selloff, which manifests itself through the VIX curve moving upwards and inverting significantly.” Some investors see the losses as the cost of protection against a market drop. Hedge funds also use these products for quick trades. The smartest crypto minds already read our newsletter. Want in? Join them.

Author: Coinstats

2025/09/29

Wall Street’s AI trade is outgrowing Big Tech – What does this mean for the Mag 7?

Wall Street’s AI trade is outgrowing Big Tech – What does this mean for the Mag 7?

The post Wall Street’s AI trade is outgrowing Big Tech – What does this mean for the Mag 7? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Wall Street is rethinking its favorite collection of stocks. Big Tech, a.k.a. the Magnificent Seven (Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla), once defined the AI boom, but the trade is spreading further. Since ChatGPT placed AI at the center of the global economy around three years ago, investors have gone crazy pouring money into Big Tech, making it responsible for more than half of the S&P 500’s 70% surge since 2023, according to data from Bloomberg. Now the gains are moving beyond Big Tech, and strategies built only around the seven giants risk missing the next winners. The group is still massive. The Mag 7 controls almost 35% of the S&P 500, with earnings projected to rise more than 15% in 2026 and revenue up 13%. The rest of the index is expected to post 13% earnings growth and just 5.5% in revenue. But performance inside the seven tells two different stories. Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta are up between 21% and 33% this year. Apple, Amazon, and Tesla are trailing, their roles in an AI-driven market far less certain. Analysts add new companies to the trade Some on Wall Street are cutting the list down. A “Fab Four” of Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon has been suggested. Jonathan Golub at Seaport Research recommended removing Tesla to create a “Big Six.” Ben Reitzes at Melius Research added Broadcom to make an “Elite 8.” But none of these attempts capture all the companies benefiting from AI. Oracle has surged more than 75% in 2025 as its AI-related cloud services took off. Palantir, once a niche software firm, is now the top performer in the Nasdaq 100, surging 135% this year on AI demand. Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, which oversees $16.4 trillion, said: “A company…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/09/29

Wall Street’s Magnificent Seven is losing its hold as AI trade expands beyond Big Tech

Wall Street’s Magnificent Seven is losing its hold as AI trade expands beyond Big Tech

Wall Street is rethinking its favorite collection of stocks. Big Tech, a.k.a. the Magnificent Seven (Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla), once defined the AI boom, but the trade is spreading further. Since ChatGPT placed AI at the center of the global economy around three years ago, investors have gone crazy pouring money into Big Tech, making it responsible for more than half of the S&P 500’s 70% surge since 2023, according to data from Bloomberg. Now the gains are moving beyond Big Tech, and strategies built only around the seven giants risk missing the next winners. The group is still massive. The Mag 7 controls almost 35% of the S&P 500, with earnings projected to rise more than 15% in 2026 and revenue up 13%. The rest of the index is expected to post 13% earnings growth and just 5.5% in revenue. But performance inside the seven tells two different stories. Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta are up between 21% and 33% this year. Apple, Amazon, and Tesla are trailing, their roles in an AI-driven market far less certain. Analysts add new companies to the trade Some on Wall Street are cutting the list down. A “Fab Four” of Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon has been suggested. Jonathan Golub at Seaport Research recommended removing Tesla to create a “Big Six.” Ben Reitzes at Melius Research added Broadcom to make an “Elite 8.” But none of these attempts capture all the companies benefiting from AI. Oracle has surged more than 75% in 2025 as its AI-related cloud services took off. Palantir, once a niche software firm, is now the top performer in the Nasdaq 100, surging 135% this year on AI demand. Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, which oversees $16.4 trillion, said: “A company can become too big to ignore. It could be that as the AI story evolves, new winners take the place of the old winners, even if the previous ones continue to do fine.” This is not the first time Wall Street has reshuffled the names that dominate. The Nifty Fifty ruled the 1960s, the Four Horsemen carried the Nasdaq through the dot-com bubble, and FAANG defined the mobile and social media era. Each club was dominant for its time, but each eventually gave way to new leaders. The same pattern is now playing out with AI. Index makers formalize the expansion Cboe Global Markets announced the Magnificent 10 Index on September 10, including the original seven plus Broadcom, Palantir, and Advanced Micro Devices. The announcement came the same day Oracle posted its biggest one-day gain since 1992 with a strong forecast, yet it was excluded. Nick Schommer, portfolio manager at Janus Henderson, which manages $34.7 billion, said: “We do need to expand the conversation beyond just the Mag Seven. Oracle is definitely a part of it now, and so is Broadcom.” Cboe said the index was built on criteria like liquidity, market value, trading volume, and leadership in artificial intelligence and digital transformation. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Oracle, Broadcom, and Palantir are repeatedly mentioned by investors as critical to the AI ecosystem. Palantir is also singled out as one of the few clear software winners while firms like Salesforce and Adobe face doubts about being left behind. The AI boom is lifting companies outside the seven. Apple is flagged as falling behind in AI, while Tesla faces a crowded electric vehicle market. Still, both have loyal investors. Apple supporters believe the iPhone will become the gateway device for AI. Tesla’s backers place their hopes on Elon Musk’s push into autonomous driving and humanoid robots. AI demand is boosting energy producers, networking companies like Arista Networks, memory makers such as Micron, and storage firms including Western Digital, Seagate, and SanDisk. But not all players are available on the market. OpenAI, reportedly valued at $500 billion, remains private, as do Anthropic and SpaceX, though they still shape the AI environment. Want your project in front of crypto’s top minds? Feature it in our next industry report, where data meets impact.

Author: Coinstats

2025/09/29

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