Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

907 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets

A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets

The post A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets Skip to content Home Crypto News Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets Source: https://bitcoinworld.co.in/gemini-cftc-license-prediction-markets/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets

Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets

BitcoinWorld Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets In a landmark move for cryptocurrency regulation, the Gemini exchange has achieved a significant victory. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has granted Gemini a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license. This pivotal approval, reported by The Block, unlocks a new frontier for the exchange, allowing it to formally launch its own prediction market and […] This post Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Connecticut Enforcement Against Kalshi Prediction Market

Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Connecticut Enforcement Against Kalshi Prediction Market

The post Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Connecticut Enforcement Against Kalshi Prediction Market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A federal judge in Connecticut has issued a temporary order blocking the state from enforcing gambling laws against prediction market platform Kalshi, providing relief while the court considers a preliminary injunction request. This stems from cease-and-desist letters sent to Kalshi and others for alleged unlicensed sports gambling operations. Kalshi operates as a CFTC-designated contract market, claiming federal jurisdiction preempts state regulations. The temporary block prevents enforcement actions based on the state’s cease-and-desist letter until oral arguments in February 2026. Similar legal battles in other states like Nevada highlight the ongoing nationwide regulatory challenges for prediction markets, with Kalshi facing mixed outcomes. Kalshi Connecticut court order blocks state gambling enforcement temporarily. Learn how this impacts prediction markets and CFTC oversight in crypto trading. Stay updated on regulatory developments—subscribe for insights today. What is the Kalshi Connecticut Court Order? The Kalshi Connecticut court order represents a significant temporary victory for the prediction market platform Kalshi in its battle against state-level gambling regulations. Issued by U.S. District Court Judge Victor Bolden on Monday, the order instructs Connecticut state officials to halt any enforcement actions related to a recent cease-and-desist letter sent to Kalshi. This pause remains in effect while the court evaluates Kalshi’s motion for a preliminary injunction, with oral arguments set for February 12, 2026. The decision underscores the tension between federal oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and state gambling laws, particularly for platforms offering event contracts that resemble sports betting. How Does Connecticut’s Cease-and-Desist Affect Kalshi’s Operations? Connecticut’s Department of Consumer Protection, through its Gaming Division, issued cease-and-desist letters last week to Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com, accusing them of providing unlicensed online sports gambling to state residents. The letters demanded an immediate stop to offering sports event contracts and required platforms to allow users to withdraw funds, warning…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Stripe Backed Tempo Opens Stablecoin Testnet

Stripe Backed Tempo Opens Stablecoin Testnet

The post Stripe Backed Tempo Opens Stablecoin Testnet appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Tempo opens a public testnet backed by Stripe and Paradigm for stablecoin settlement. The payments first chain uses reserved blockspace and sub cent fees paid in USDT and USDC. UBS, Mastercard, Visa, OpenAI and others are already testing cross border and agentic payment flows. Tempo, a blockchain for payments backed by Stripe and Paradigm, announced on Tuesday that its public testnet is now open to developers worldwide. The move builds on the concept unveiled in September. As per Bloomberg report, Tempo debuts a functioning network that companies can begin experimenting with immediately. Stripe’s existing payments infrastructure is expected to connect with the network once it reaches mainnet in 2026. Paradigm, which guides the network’s technical direction, said that the goal is to make stablecoins practical instruments for real world commerce. A Payments-First Chain Built for Predictability Tempo has a payments-first design that separates transfer activity from the rest of the network. The goal here is to prevent the fee spikes and congestion that often arise on general-purpose blockchains whenever volumes jump. The chain reserves its own blockspace for transfers, allowing stable settlement times and transaction costs measured around 0.1 cent. By removing reliance on a volatile native token, Tempo allows fees to be paid in familiar USD stablecoins such as USDT and USDC.  The network supports microtransactions, global remittances, tokenized deposits, and agentic payments straight out of the box. Its early technical suite includes stablecoin swap tools, passkey authentication, and full EVM compatibility. Related: Kyrgyzstan launches $50M gold-backed USDKG stablecoin to modernize cross-border payments Tempo currently relies on four rotating validators operated by the team, though it plans to incorporate design-partner validators and later open the validator set entirely. A Growing Roster of Global Partners UBS, Cross River Bank, Mastercard, Klarna, and prediction-market operator Kalshi joined the testnet opening along…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Federal Pause in Connecticut Case

Federal Pause in Connecticut Case

The post Federal Pause in Connecticut Case appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A high-stakes legal showdown over Kalshi prediction markets has escalated, as a federal court steps in to pause a contentious enforcement push from Connecticut regulators. Judge pauses Connecticut gambling order targeting Kalshi A federal judge has temporarily shielded Kalshi from a Connecticut gambling order, after the state accused the prediction platform of running unlicensed online wagering. The decision offers short-term protection while a broader jurisdictional battle plays out in federal court. The ruling blocks Connecticut from enforcing its cease-and-desist directive as the legal fight over Kalshi’s regulatory status stretches into early 2026. However, the reprieve is only temporary, with a strict briefing schedule now in place. Connecticut’s Department of Consumer Protection (DCP) issued cease-and-desist notices on Dec. 2 to Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com. The agency alleged that each platform was offering unlicensed sports wagering through what it called “online sports event contracts”. Kalshi argues federal derivatives oversight and CFTC authority A day after receiving the notice, Kalshi sued the DCP in federal court. The company contends that its event-based contracts are financial derivatives, not gambling products, and therefore sit under the CFTC’s exclusive purview rather than state law. On Monday, Judge Vernon Oliver ordered the DCP to refrain from taking any enforcement action while the court evaluates Kalshi’s request for temporary relief. Moreover, the judge set a clear timetable for the next phase of the case. Under the schedule, the DCP must file its response by Jan. 9. Kalshi will then submit additional arguments by Jan. 30, with oral arguments expected in mid-February. That said, the outcome could have implications well beyond Connecticut. Kalshi, which the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has designated as a federally regulated contract market, began offering event-based contracts nationwide earlier this year. Its markets span sports, weather, and political outcomes, deepening the ongoing cftc jurisdiction dispute…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Polymarket faces major credibility crisis after whales forced a “YES” UFO vote without evidence

Polymarket faces major credibility crisis after whales forced a “YES” UFO vote without evidence

Polymarket just resolved “YES” on a $16 million market asking whether the Trump administration would declassify UFO files in 2025… even though no documents have been released. The outcome arrived after late-session buying near 99 to 99.9 cents, and a resolution through UMA’s Optimistic Oracle, which recorded multiple disputes before finalization. The oracle pipeline relies […] The post Polymarket faces major credibility crisis after whales forced a “YES” UFO vote without evidence appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Author: CryptoSlate
Federal judge grants relief in kalshi prediction markets clash with Connecticut regulators

Federal judge grants relief in kalshi prediction markets clash with Connecticut regulators

A high-stakes legal showdown over Kalshi prediction markets has escalated, as a federal court steps in to pause a contentious enforcement push from Connecticut regulators. Judge pauses Connecticut gambling order targeting Kalshi A federal judge has temporarily shielded Kalshi from a Connecticut gambling order, after the state accused the prediction platform of running unlicensed online […]

Author: The Cryptonomist
Prediction Market Kalshi Wins Crucial Legal Battle as US Court Halts Connecticut’s Order

Prediction Market Kalshi Wins Crucial Legal Battle as US Court Halts Connecticut’s Order

BitcoinWorld Prediction Market Kalshi Wins Crucial Legal Battle as US Court Halts Connecticut’s Order In a significant development for the crypto and fintech space, a US federal court has delivered a pivotal ruling. The court has granted a stay, effectively halting a cease-and-desist order from Connecticut’s Department of Consumer Protection (DCP) against the prediction market Kalshi. This decision throws a spotlight on the intense regulatory scrutiny facing innovative financial […] This post Prediction Market Kalshi Wins Crucial Legal Battle as US Court Halts Connecticut’s Order first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
ICE CEO Reveals Over Half Of Clients Now Eager For Crypto Forecasting Platforms

ICE CEO Reveals Over Half Of Clients Now Eager For Crypto Forecasting Platforms

The post ICE CEO Reveals Over Half Of Clients Now Eager For Crypto Forecasting Platforms appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half Of Clients Now Eager For Crypto Forecasting Platforms Skip to content Home Crypto News Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half of Clients Now Eager for Crypto Forecasting Platforms Source: https://bitcoinworld.co.in/ice-clients-prediction-markets-surge/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half of Clients Now Eager for Crypto Forecasting Platforms

Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half of Clients Now Eager for Crypto Forecasting Platforms

BitcoinWorld Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half of Clients Now Eager for Crypto Forecasting Platforms Imagine a world where traditional commodity traders pivot toward forecasting real-world events. That world is now here. Jeffrey Sprecher, CEO of Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), recently dropped a bombshell: more than half of ICE’s institutional clients are actively exploring prediction markets. This seismic shift signals that crypto-based forecasting platforms are moving from niche curiosities to mainstream […] This post Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half of Clients Now Eager for Crypto Forecasting Platforms first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld