On‑chain and derivatives data from Santiment show a classic contrarian warning signal: after Bitcoin pushed above $94.4K, demand for $100,000 call options surged, a pattern that has historically preceded short‑term pullbacks when crowd greed peaks.On‑chain and derivatives data from Santiment show a classic contrarian warning signal: after Bitcoin pushed above $94.4K, demand for $100,000 call options surged, a pattern that has historically preceded short‑term pullbacks when crowd greed peaks.

Santiment: $100K Bitcoin Call Frenzy Signals Contrarian Risk

2026/01/07 13:30
Okuma süresi: 2 dk
Haber Özeti
On‑chain and derivatives data from Santiment show a classic contrarian warning signal: after Bitcoin pushed above $94.4K, demand for $100,000 call options surged, a pattern that has historically preceded short‑term pullbacks when crowd greed peaks.

Summary

On‑chain and derivatives data from Santiment show a classic contrarian warning signal: after Bitcoin pushed above $94.4K, demand for $100,000 call options surged, a pattern that has historically preceded short‑term pullbacks when crowd greed peaks.

What the Data Shows

  • Sharp rise in $100K call buying
  • Concentration of bullish bets immediately after a price breakout
  • Sentiment skewing heavily toward upside continuation

This kind of positioning reflects crowded optimism, not necessarily informed conviction.

Why This Can Be Bearish (Short Term)

  • Overcrowded trades: When too many traders bet on the same outcome, upside becomes fragile
  • Dealer hedging dynamics: Heavy call buying can reduce marginal upside as dealers adjust exposure
  • “Buy the top” behavior: Retail enthusiasm often peaks after strong moves, not before them

Historically, similar spikes in call demand have coincided with local tops or consolidation phases.

Important Context

  • This is a tactical signal, not a macro one
  • It does not invalidate the broader bullish thesis for Bitcoin
  • Pullbacks driven by sentiment often reset leverage and funding, strengthening the trend

In bull markets, corrections are usually brief and shallow.

What to Watch Next

  • Funding rates and open interest changes
  • Whether call demand cools or accelerates further
  • Price behavior around key levels like $95K–$100K

Bottom Line

Santiment’s data suggests Bitcoin sentiment is flashing a contrarian warning as $100K call demand spikes after reclaiming $94.4K. Historically, this setup favors short‑term cooling or consolidation, even if the larger trend remains constructive.

Sorumluluk Reddi: Bu sayfada yayınlanan makaleler bağımsız kişiler tarafından yazılmıştır ve MEXC'nin resmi görüşlerini yansıtmayabilir. Tüm içerikler yalnızca bilgilendirme ve eğitim amaçlıdır. MEXC, sağlanan bilgilere dayalı olarak gerçekleştirilen herhangi bir eylemden sorumlu değildir. İçerik, finansal, hukuki veya diğer profesyonel tavsiye niteliğinde değildir ve MEXC tarafından bir öneri veya onay olarak değerlendirilmemelidir. Kripto para piyasaları oldukça volatildir. Yatırım kararları vermeden önce lütfen kendi araştırmanızı yapın ve lisanslı bir finans danışmanına başvurun.

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