Nvidia (NVDA) Stock: What Analysts Expect From Earnings Wednesday

TLDR

• Nvidia reports Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings on February 25, with Wall Street expecting EPS of $1.52 and revenue of $65.67 billion.
• Hedge funds increased Nvidia holdings by about 1.6 million shares last quarter, with the TipRanks Hedge Fund Confidence Signal at Positive.
• New positions include Spence Asset Management ($19.5M), while Pachira Investments raised its stake by 55% and Crystal Rock Capital by 53%.
• Nvidia holds a Strong Buy consensus on TipRanks with an average price target of $261.84, implying roughly 39% upside.
• Nvidia shares have stalled in 2026 alongside other Magnificent Seven stocks, though the stock soared following ChatGPT’s launch in late 2022.

Nvidia is set to report its Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings on February 25, and hedge fund activity heading into the report leans bullish.

NVIDIA Corporation, NVDA

Several new positions appeared in recent filings. Spence Asset Management disclosed around $19.5 million in Nvidia stock. Seven Post Investment Office and Trinity Wealth Management also opened new stakes.

Existing holders added to positions too. Pachira Investments grew its holding by about 55%. Crystal Rock Capital Management raised its position by roughly 53%, and Manning & Napier Advisors lifted its stake by around 34%.

Not every fund was buying. A few trimmed shares following Nvidia’s recent rally, but the net trend heading into earnings remains positive.

What Wall Street Expects

Analysts forecast EPS of $1.52 for Q4, which would represent 71% year-over-year growth. Revenue is projected to hit $65.67 billion, up 68% from the same period a year ago.

Those are big numbers, but Nvidia has delivered big numbers before. The question investors are sitting with now is guidance — specifically whether demand for AI chips and data center spending stays strong into fiscal 2027.

Nvidia shares have stalled so far in 2026, alongside other Magnificent Seven stocks. The broader group has lost momentum after a strong run following the 2022 launch of ChatGPT.

Software stocks have added to the uncertain mood in tech this year, getting hit hard on concerns that AI could disrupt traditional business models. Salesforce and Intuit are also reporting earnings in the week ahead, and investors will be watching those results closely too.

Analyst Ratings

On TipRanks, Nvidia holds a Strong Buy consensus based on 35 Buy ratings, one Hold, and one Sell. The average price target sits at $261.84, implying roughly 39% upside from current levels.

Nvidia’s results tend to move more than just its own stock. As the dominant supplier of AI chips, its guidance often sets the tone for the wider semiconductor space.

February 25 is the date to watch.

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