XRP Price Outlook for March 2026 After Five Red Months — Reversal Ahead?

• XRP enters March 2026 after five red months, with history hinting at a possible rebound.
• CryptoBull predicts XRP could surge to $4–$9, mirroring its 2017 breakout fractal.
• While 2017 comparisons spark optimism, today’s $80B+ market cap changes the equation.

XRP enters March 2026 at a critical juncture after months of sustained losses. The asset is trading at $1.38 at press time, up 3.67% on the day, but still recovering from a five-month red streak that has weighed on sentiment.

With March historically known for both explosive rallies and sharp declines for XRP, analysts are divided on what comes next.

XRP Prediction for March From Analytic Platforms

Several forecasting platforms have released their March projections. CoinCodex predicts XRP could reach a maximum of $1.54 in March, and its projected minimum sits at $1.36, suggesting limited downside in the short term.

Changelly offers a slightly more conservative outlook, forecasting a maximum of $1.49, marking an approximate 11.4% increase from current levels. Its minimum estimate stands at $1.34.

Meanwhile, data from CryptoRank shows that XRP posts an average gain of 18.1% in March. However, the historical record is mixed. 

Over its 13-year history, XRP has recorded major March gains only five times. The overall positive average is largely driven by 2017’s massive 278% surge during the early phase of its historic bull run.

In short, statistical history supports a modest upside bias, but not without risk.

The Five Red Months

XRP is on track to close its fifth consecutive red monthly candle, a streak not seen since 2016–2017.

Back then, XRP was trading around $0.005 before it began a historic surge, climbing nearly 60,000% to reach $3.31 by January 2018. This breakout followed a pattern of five consecutive red monthly candles from October 2016 to February 2017, with the rally kicking off in March 2017.

This has sparked comparisons among market watchers. However, there is a key difference. In 2016, XRP’s market capitalization was roughly $200–$300 million. Today, its valuation stands near $83 billion. 

A repeat of a 60,000% rally from $1.36 would imply a price above $800 and a market cap approaching $50 trillion, larger than entire global sectors like gold.

While the pattern is statistically rare, market structure today is very different.

Analysts Eye $4 to $9 

Popular analyst CryptoBull believes XRP’s current 3-day structure mirrors its 2017 breakout fractal. According to his projection, XRP could reach $4 in early March. He added that the breakout could extend toward $9 within weeks.

A move to $4 would nearly triple current prices. A rally to $9 would represent a 7x expansion and push XRP’s market cap above $500 billion.

Another analyst, CryptoPatel, argues XRP is consolidating in a $1.00–$1.30 re-accumulation zone after confirming a macro reversal by breaking a four-year descending wedge. He maintains that the pullback from $3.66 represents a final shakeout before a potential move toward $10.

Still, not everyone is convinced the bottom is in. Some bearish analysts suggest XRP could revisit $0.50 before any sustained breakout occurs.

Ripple’s Strategic Expansion Strengthens Fundamentals

Beyond price charts, XRP’s long-term narrative continues to develop. At The Economic Club of New York Digital Payments Series Luncheon, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse discussed how Ripple’s acquisitions are strategically designed to strengthen the XRP ecosystem.

In 2025, Ripple expanded aggressively, acquiring:

• Hidden Road
• GTreasury
• Palisade
• Rail

Garlinghouse emphasized that these acquisitions aim to deepen institutional services, improve custody solutions, and expand liquidity on the XRP Ledger. 

He also highlighted RLUSD’s role in increasing on-chain liquidity, which could benefit developers and financial institutions building on XRPL. Regulatory clarity, he noted, remains a key catalyst for broader institutional adoption.

So What’s the Realistic XRP Outlook for March 2026?

Based on forecasting platforms and historical averages, a 10%–18% move appears statistically reasonable. That would place XRP between $1.49 and $1.58 if momentum improves. More aggressive targets of $4 to $9 would require a sharp shift in market sentiment and a strong Bitcoin-led rally.

March is historically volatile for XRP. While some see echoes of 2017, others caution that percentage comparisons from sub-cent levels may not translate into today’s large-cap environment. As March begins in a few days, the market is watching closely.

Related: XRP Price Outlook: Capitulation, Critical Support, and the Road to $35?