After FET’s 16% rally, is a move towards $0.21 now likely?

FET surged by over 16% in the last 24 hours, climbing to about $0.1859 after breaking above a multi-week descending channel resistance. Its price strength has accelerated too as buyers pushed the crypto out of its prolonged downtrend structure. 

This move followed several weeks of compression between its $0.1405 support and $0.1574 resistance. Once the price reclaimed $0.1574, bullish pressure strengthened and volatility expanded sharply. 

The rally then approached the $0.1900-resistance zone, which previously capped upside attempts. However, a long upper wick near that region hinted that sellers might actually be active. 

Even so, the breakout above the descending structure is a sign of a clear shift in short-term trend direction as recovery pressure intensifies.

Has FET escaped its descending channel?

A closer look at the 4-hour structure revealed how the descending channel has controlled price action since early February. 

Lower highs repeatedly formed along the upper trendline, while buyers defended the $0.1405 region several times. However, the recent surge forced the price above the channel resistance line and triggered a sharp upward expansion. 

The breakout also occurred after FET reclaimed the key horizontal support at $0.1574. This level had previously acted as resistance during the consolidation phase. 

Once buyers established control above it, the price accelerated towards $0.1900. Nevertheless, that zone now represents a critical barrier. If buyers maintain control above $0.1574, the market structure could continue shifting upwards towards the next resistance near $0.2100.

Indicator behavior also highlighted the strengthening price recovery. The MACD line crossed above the Signal line while the histogram turned positive on the 4-hour chart. Such a shift indicated that buying pressure has expanded after several weeks of weak price activity. 

Earlier in the trend, repeated MACD failures reinforced the descending channel structure. However, the latest crossover might be stronger because it seemed to align with the structural breakout. 

In fact, green histogram bars have continued to expand too – A sign that the rally has gained strength as the price approached its resistance. 

FET exchange reserves climb as supply rises

Exchange flows data introduced a contrasting signal, despite the strong rally. Exchange Reserves USD increased to $78.5996 million, reflecting a 18.59% rise in tokens held on exchanges. 

Rising reserves often indicate that holders have transferred assets to trading platforms. This movement increases available supply that traders can sell. During strong rallies, such inflows sometimes mean profit-taking preparation. However, they can also represent liquidity positioning before additional trading activity. 

In FET’s case, the rising reserves metric has coincided with the price rallying towards its resistance. Such a relationship creates an important tension in the market structure. 

If exchange balances continue to rise while the price stalls near $0.1900, selling pressure could begin to climb.

Derivatives data reveals persistent sell pressure

At the time of writing, derivatives activity presented another notable divergence in the market structure. Futures Taker CVD over the 90-day window, for instance, showed taker sell dominance. 

This indicator tracks aggressive market orders in futures trading. Persistent sell dominance means traders have executed more market sell orders than buy orders. 

Despite the price rally, derivatives traders have not fully shifted towards aggressive buying behavior. 

Instead, selling activity remains dominanct across market orders in futures markets. Such a divergence often reflects hedging activity or short positioning against the rally. 

When spot buyers push the price north while derivatives traders sell aggressively, volatility can increase. As a result, the market may see sharp price swings near major resistance levels.

Can FET sustain this breakout rally?

FET appears positioned to sustain its breakout, although short-term consolidation may emerge near $0.1900 resistance. Buyers have reclaimed $0.1574 support, while the MACD bullish crossover has continued to strengthen recovery pressure. 

However, exchange reserves rising by 18.59% introduces additional supply. Besides, derivatives traders have been cautious too. 

Even so, strong spot demand could keep the price supported before a potential move towards $0.2100.

Final Summary 

• Market structure now favors buyers, although resistance clusters could slow price before another attempt towards higher levels.
• Sustained demand above reclaimed support would likely stabilize trend structure and encourage upward participation across markets.