- SOL consolidates above key support as sellers fade, keeping medium-term structure neutral
- Leverage cools as open interest stabilizes, signaling unwinding over aggressive shorting
- Price stays range-bound as resistance caps rallies and spot flows show reduced selling
Solana price action continues to draw attention as traders assess whether the current pause marks stability or further weakness. After failing to sustain momentum near recent highs, SOL now trades within a defined range that reflects uncertainty rather than panic.
Market data shows fading short-term strength, yet broader structure signals that sellers still lack full control. Consequently, participants focus on whether support levels can absorb pressure while leverage and spot flows adjust.
Short-Term Structure Signals Pressure, Not Collapse
Solana price slipped into a corrective phase after rejecting levels near the $147 area. Since then, price action has formed lower highs on the four-hour chart. Additionally, SOL now trades below its 20, 50, and 100 exponential moving averages. This alignment confirms near-term bearish pressure.
However, the broader structure still holds above the $121 region. That base previously supported strong rebounds. Hence, the medium-term outlook remains neutral instead of decisively bearish. Sellers have slowed, but buyers also hesitate to step in aggressively.
SOL Price Dynamics (Source: Trading View)Momentum indicators support this cautious view. Chaikin Money Flow remains slightly negative, pointing to mild outflows rather than panic selling. Moreover, the indicator shows weak demand instead of heavy distribution. This suggests traders continue reducing exposure gradually.
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Several levels now shape Solana’s short-term direction. The $133.80 to $135.45 area marks the first resistance zone. This range aligns with key moving averages and previous supply. Besides that, the $142 region stands as a stronger barrier after a prior breakdown.
A reclaim of $147 would shift sentiment quickly. Such a move would restore bullish structure and force sidelined traders back into the market. However, price must first clear nearer resistance convincingly.
On the downside, immediate support sits between $131.40 and $130.90. A clean break below this band would expose the $127.70 level. Consequently, attention would turn to the $121.70 range low. A loss there would flip the broader trend bearish.
Derivatives and Spot Flows Reflect Cooling Leverage
Source: CoinglassFutures data shows leverage expanding during rallies and contracting during pullbacks. Open interest peaked near local price tops, signaling crowded positioning. During declines, open interest dropped, indicating position unwinding instead of fresh shorts.
Recently, open interest stabilized near $7.3 billion as price hovered around $130. This behavior suggests leverage cooled after volatility but remained elevated. Additionally, traders still show interest despite reduced risk appetite.
Source: CoinglassSpot flow data tells a similar story. Persistent outflows dominated much of the period, especially during sharp pullbacks. However, recent inflows appear smaller, signaling eased selling pressure. Overall, flows reflect caution rather than renewed accumulation.
Technical Outlook for Solana Price
Solana price action remains tightly structured as traders assess direction after the recent pullback. On the 4H chart, SOL trades inside a well-defined corrective range following rejection near the $147 swing high.
Consequently, short-term momentum stays capped, while medium-term structure remains intact above major base support. Price compression between clearly marked support and resistance zones suggests volatility expansion may follow once a key level breaks.
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Upside Levels: Immediate resistance sits at $133.80–$135.45, where the 20 and 50 EMAs converge. A sustained breakout above this cluster could open a move toward $141.95–$142.00. Beyond that, $147 remains the range ceiling and the level required to restore bullish momentum.
Downside Levels: Initial support holds at $131.40–$130.90. A failure there exposes $127.70, which aligns with a key Fibonacci reaction zone. The critical downside level remains $121.70, the range low and primary structural support. A break below this area would likely flip the medium-term trend bearish.
Key Pivot Level: The $135.50 area acts as the near-term trigger. A firm 4H close above it would shift momentum upward, while rejection keeps price vulnerable to further downside tests.
Will Solana Move Higher Next?
Solana price prediction in the near term depends on whether buyers can defend the $130 zone and reclaim the EMA resistance cluster. Continued consolidation points to market indecision rather than distribution. If volume expands on a move above $135.50, SOL could retest $142 and potentially challenge $147.
However, failure to hold $130 increases the risk of a deeper move toward $127.70 and possibly $121.70. For now, Solana remains in a pivotal range, with leverage cooling and spot flows stabilizing as traders await confirmation.
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Source: https://coinedition.com/solana-price-prediction-sol-trades-in-a-tight-range-as-traders-reassess-risk/
