The post Fed Signals Just One 2026 Rate Cut After Hawkish Dot Plot as Inflation Risks Persist and Labor Market Cools appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In its December briefing, MUFG reports the Federal Reserve voted 9-3 to trim rates by 25 basis points, while officials acknowledged a gradual cooling of the labor market and an evolving inflation backdrop affecting policy assumptions. Chair Powell underscored meaningful downside risks facing the labor market, stressing that the path to sustainable gains remains data dependent and that inflation dynamics require continued vigilance. On inflation, officials noted that if no new tariffs are imposed, goods inflation may peak in early 2026, though persistence risk remains. The dot plot shows the median forecast calls for a single rate cut in 2026, a hawkish stance vs markets pricing roughly two cuts. Overall, the Fed remains in a favorable position to patiently monitor the economy, with the near-term bias toward data dependency rather than complacency. Looking ahead, leadership changes in the second half of next year could add uncertainty to the policy outlook. Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/fed-signals-just-one-2026-rate-cut-after-hawkish-dot-plot-as-inflation-risks-persist-and-labor-market-coolsThe post Fed Signals Just One 2026 Rate Cut After Hawkish Dot Plot as Inflation Risks Persist and Labor Market Cools appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In its December briefing, MUFG reports the Federal Reserve voted 9-3 to trim rates by 25 basis points, while officials acknowledged a gradual cooling of the labor market and an evolving inflation backdrop affecting policy assumptions. Chair Powell underscored meaningful downside risks facing the labor market, stressing that the path to sustainable gains remains data dependent and that inflation dynamics require continued vigilance. On inflation, officials noted that if no new tariffs are imposed, goods inflation may peak in early 2026, though persistence risk remains. The dot plot shows the median forecast calls for a single rate cut in 2026, a hawkish stance vs markets pricing roughly two cuts. Overall, the Fed remains in a favorable position to patiently monitor the economy, with the near-term bias toward data dependency rather than complacency. Looking ahead, leadership changes in the second half of next year could add uncertainty to the policy outlook. Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/fed-signals-just-one-2026-rate-cut-after-hawkish-dot-plot-as-inflation-risks-persist-and-labor-market-cools

Fed Signals Just One 2026 Rate Cut After Hawkish Dot Plot as Inflation Risks Persist and Labor Market Cools

2025/12/11 13:28

In its December briefing, MUFG reports the Federal Reserve voted 9-3 to trim rates by 25 basis points, while officials acknowledged a gradual cooling of the labor market and an evolving inflation backdrop affecting policy assumptions.

Chair Powell underscored meaningful downside risks facing the labor market, stressing that the path to sustainable gains remains data dependent and that inflation dynamics require continued vigilance.

On inflation, officials noted that if no new tariffs are imposed, goods inflation may peak in early 2026, though persistence risk remains. The dot plot shows the median forecast calls for a single rate cut in 2026, a hawkish stance vs markets pricing roughly two cuts.

Overall, the Fed remains in a favorable position to patiently monitor the economy, with the near-term bias toward data dependency rather than complacency. Looking ahead, leadership changes in the second half of next year could add uncertainty to the policy outlook.

Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/fed-signals-just-one-2026-rate-cut-after-hawkish-dot-plot-as-inflation-risks-persist-and-labor-market-cools

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Economic policies are chasing investors away from US – Mercer

Economic policies are chasing investors away from US – Mercer

The post Economic policies are chasing investors away from US – Mercer appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A wave of clients are shifting away from U.S. assets as investors react to President Donald Trump’s trade and interest-rate agenda, according to Mercer LLC. The consulting firm says concern over tariffs, pressure on the Federal Reserve, a swelling budget deficit and the risk of a softer dollar are pushing money to Europe, Japan and other markets. Hooman Kaveh, Mercer’s global chief investment officer, said a rising share of the firm’s 3,900 clients, together overseeing about $17 trillion, are reducing U.S. exposure. The opening weeks in the early phase of Trump’s second term “has been a trigger for genuine diversification,” he noted in an interview this week. “We’re certainly seeing that in client portfolios where flows are toward diversifying markets, geographies, asset classes, currencies.” Market nerves were evident in early April after Trump’s “Liberation Day” announcement, when both U.S. stocks and Treasuries fell before rebounding. Even so, U.S. shares have trailed many overseas benchmarks in 2025 for dollar-based investors. Kaveh said investors are struggling to price the tariff path because the effects can cut two ways: either squeeze company margins or get passed through to consumers and lift inflation. “If you have a situation where tariffs are going to push prices up, and the weaker dollar potentially can increase inflation, that would cause the Fed much more of a challenge to cut rates,” he added. As mentione in a Bloomberg report, he called the White House’s preference for a weaker dollar “the Achilles heel to the current approach” since it can magnify the inflation impulse from tariffs. Where the money is going Trump’s repeated criticism of Chair Jerome Powell, saying he has been slow to lower borrowing costs, along with the president’s move to fire Governor Lisa Cook, is further encouraging clients to step back from the U.S., according to…
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BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 13:17