Arthur Hayes, Tom Lee, and Michael Saylor's 2025 BTC price predictions have all deviated significantly from reality.

PANews reported on December 31st that, according to DLNews, Bitcoin price predictions for 2025 have become a hot topic in the crypto industry, but the predictions of several prominent figures have fallen far short of actual performance. Despite a buoyant start to the year fueled by institutional adoption, ETF inflows, and pro-crypto policies, macroeconomic headwinds and investor fatigue led to a 10% drop in Bitcoin's price for the year, failing to maintain the strong momentum seen at the beginning of the year. Below is a comparison of the predictions and actual results from several prominent figures:

• Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, repeatedly predicted a surge in Bitcoin prices, stating in early 2025 that Bitcoin would surpass $200,000. However, influenced by US President Trump's tariff policies, Bitcoin fell below $80,000 in April. Despite this, Hayes maintained that it would reach $150,000 by the end of the year, even predicting $200,000 in November, but the final price of Bitcoin was only $86,000.

• Tom Lee of Fundstrat predicted Bitcoin would reach $250,000 by the end of 2025, but due to market volatility, he lowered his forecast to over $100,000 in November. However, Bitcoin's price was only $86,000 on December 19, about 17% lower than his latest prediction.

• Michael Saylor: MicroStrategy co-founder Saylor predicted at the beginning of the year that Bitcoin's price would reach $150,000 by the end of the year, but as of December, Bitcoin's price was still far below that target, a deviation of nearly 80%. Nevertheless, Saylor remains optimistic about its long-term performance, predicting that Bitcoin will reach $20 million per coin within 20 years.

Despite the fact that Bitcoin prices failed to surge as expected in 2025, many industry insiders remain optimistic about the long-term potential of the crypto market.