FUTU Stock Price Performance & Prediction (2026–2030)

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2026/01/04 20:13

FUTU stock price can move fast because Futu Holdings sits at the intersection of two high-beta forces: global market risk appetite and trading activity from retail and active investors. Over time, the market still tends to price FUTU (a US stock) around a small set of fundamentals: earnings power, client activity and assets, net interest dynamics, and the valuation multiple investors are willing to pay for that earnings stream.

FUTU stock price history and performance

Futu Holdings is best known for its digital brokerage and wealth platform, and its stock has experienced large upcycles and deep drawdowns. The most useful way to read FUTU stock price performance is to separate long-horizon compounding from short-horizon volatility.

A concrete way to anchor expectations is to look at calendar-year moves. The table below uses annual open/high/low/close and annual percent change as published in one widely used historical dataset.

FUTU calendar-year stock price performance (price return)

Year	Year Open (USD)	Year High (USD)	Year Low (USD)	Year Close (USD)	Annual % Change
2025	79.46	199.04	74.81	164.67	105.86%
2024	50.30	125.96	44.02	79.99	49.87%
2023	36.97	62.71	36.01	53.37	34.39%
2022	41.09	68.71	23.83	39.71	-6.12%

These figures show the core reality of FUTU stock: it can deliver very strong up years when client activity, market sentiment, and earnings momentum align, and it can also swing sharply when volatility, regulation, or risk-off conditions hit trading volumes and valuation multiples.

Recent pricing context can also be framed with near-term ranges. For example, one quote snapshot showed FUTU around $165.27 with YTD +106.61%, plus a 52-week low near $70.60 and a 52-week high near $202.53 in that same quote feed.

What moves FUTU stock price

FUTU stock price is typically explained by a handful of repeatable drivers. Most headlines matter only when they change one of these inputs.

Earnings expectations and operating leverage matter first. Brokerage-style platforms can show meaningful operating leverage when volumes, margin financing balances, and wealth product penetration rise faster than fixed costs. When the market believes earnings can compound through higher engagement and improving monetization, the stock tends to re-rate higher. When earnings visibility weakens, the multiple can compress quickly.

Net interest dynamics can matter as much as commissions in certain periods. Like other brokerage businesses, results are often influenced by interest rates and the spread dynamics tied to client cash balances, margin financing, and securities lending. When rates move or when balance mix changes, profitability can change even without a dramatic shift in headline user growth.

Client assets and activity are the “engine variables.” A practical way to think about Futu is that stronger markets can increase client assets (supporting wealth and trading engagement), while higher volatility can increase trading activity in bursts. The combination can be powerful in bull phases, but it also makes FUTU stock sensitive to risk-off environments.

China/HK market sentiment and regulatory overhang can be decisive for valuation. Investors often apply an additional risk discount when cross-border regulatory uncertainty rises, and they reduce that discount when conditions appear more stable. This can change the valuation multiple even if quarterly operating results look fine.

How to read Futu earnings in a way that helps with FUTU stock price moves

A durable earnings-reading approach is to connect each quarter back to the same driver set.

Start with whether the results changed the forward earnings path. For Futu, the key question is whether profitability looks structurally stronger (or weaker) because client engagement, balances, and monetization are improving in a way that can persist across market regimes.

Then check revenue growth and profit quality. In its full-year 2024 results communication, Futu reported total revenues of HK$13,590.1 million (with year-over-year growth cited in the release) and disclosed profit metrics that help investors evaluate whether growth is translating into earnings power.

Finally, keep the per-ADS framing consistent with how the company reports. Futu’s materials note that each ADS represents eight Class A ordinary shares, which matters when comparing “per ADS” metrics with “per share” references elsewhere.

Simple valuation tools for FUTU stock valuation

FUTU valuation is often debated, but the building blocks are straightforward.

EPS × P/E is still the simplest framework. If someone is bullish, they are implicitly assuming a stronger EPS path, a higher multiple, or both. If someone is bearish, they are assuming weaker EPS, multiple compression, or a mix of the two.

P/E as a macro sensitivity gauge matters for US stocks that are priced on growth expectations. One dataset listed Futu Holdings’ P/E ratio around 18.50 as of December 26, 2025, which can serve as a reference point for how the market was valuing its earnings stream at that time.

Revenue and net income trendlines help you decide whether multiple changes are justified. For example, a widely used financial dataset lists annual net income for 2024 around $0.701B and provides multi-year context that can be useful for trend analysis (not as a single-quarter signal).

Revenue history is also commonly tracked through standardized annual/quarterly datasets to evaluate cycle exposure and operating momentum.

FUTU price prediction for 2026 and 2030: a practical forecast framework

A FUTU stock price prediction becomes more useful when it is presented as a range with explicit assumptions. The two variables that usually do most of the work are the future earnings path (EPS power over time) and the valuation multiple investors are willing to pay.

To keep the framework reusable, the table below uses P/E ranges and EPS outcome bands rather than one “perfect” point estimate. This structure can be updated each year as the baseline earnings level changes.

FUTU price prediction (2026): scenario ranges built from EPS × P/E

2026 Assumption Set	EPS Range (USD)	P/E Range	Implied Price Range (USD)	What must be true
Conservative	2.50–3.20	12–16	30–51	Activity normalizes, growth slows, the market applies a higher risk discount, and valuation compresses.
Base case	3.20–4.20	14–20	45–84	Client assets and engagement expand steadily, profitability holds up, and valuation stays near mid-cycle levels.
Bull case	4.20–5.50	18–26	76–143	A strong cycle in activity and balances lifts EPS, confidence improves, and the multiple re-rates higher.

This is intentionally mechanical: change the EPS band when profitability expectations change, and shift the P/E band when rates, risk appetite, or regulatory discount changes.

FUTU price prediction (2030): longer-horizon ranges tied to durable earnings power

2030 Assumption Set	EPS Range (USD)	P/E Range	Implied Price Range (USD)	What must be true
Conservative	3.00–4.50	10–14	30–63	Competitive pressure rises, take rates compress, or the risk discount stays structurally high.
Base case	4.50–7.00	12–18	54–126	Earnings compound through higher client assets, product depth, and stable risk controls across cycles.
Bull case	7.00–10.00	16–24	112–240	Futu becomes a stronger cross-border platform with sustained monetization and a meaningfully lower risk discount.

These tables are not “calls.” They are a way to keep FUTU stock price prediction 2026 and FUTU stock price prediction 2030 anchored to measurable variables: earnings outcomes and the multiple.

What to watch each quarter that often moves FUTU stock price

Client assets and activity indicators are high-signal because they connect directly to brokerage and wealth monetization. When markets are strong, asset-based revenue and engagement can improve even if commission per trade is flat.

Profitability and expense discipline matter because platform businesses can show large operating leverage in good regimes and sharp deleverage in weak ones. Stable cost control can reduce downside in slower periods.

Net interest contribution matters because rate environments and client cash/margin mix can change profitability even when headline trading volume is unchanged.

Regulatory and cross-border operating conditions can move the valuation multiple quickly, especially for a platform often associated with Hong Kong/China investor flows.

Common mistakes in FUTU stock price analysis

One common mistake is treating FUTU stock as purely a “trading activity chart” and ignoring that valuation is often driven by the market’s view of sustainable earnings power across cycles.

Another mistake is assuming the multiple is stable. For broker-style platforms, the market can re-price risk quickly, and that multiple move can dominate short-horizon performance even if the business is executing well.

A third mistake is using a single target price without stating assumptions. A range tied to EPS and P/E keeps the forecast falsifiable and easy to update.

FAQ: FUTU stock price and FUTU price prediction

What is the most practical way to think about FUTU stock price?

FUTU stock price is often best framed as expected future earnings power times the valuation multiple investors are willing to pay. Client assets, activity, net interest dynamics, and risk discount tend to be the key swing factors.

Why can FUTU rise so fast in strong markets?

Brokerage platforms can show operating leverage when trading activity rises, client assets expand, and profitability improves faster than costs. When that happens, earnings and valuation can move together.

Why can FUTU drop sharply even when the business is profitable?

Valuation compression can happen quickly when risk appetite weakens, volatility changes trading behavior, or regulatory and cross-border uncertainty increases. A lower multiple can outweigh steady earnings.

How should FUTU price prediction for 2026 and 2030 be presented?

The most durable approach is to present FUTU stock price prediction 2026 and FUTU stock price prediction 2030 as ranges tied to explicit EPS and P/E assumptions, then update those assumptions as new financial results change the earnings path.

Where can I check historical price data for FUTU?

Historical datasets that publish annual open/high/low/close and annual percent change can help anchor long-term performance analysis.

Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes and general research. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or digital asset.

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