Beli Kripto Pasar Spot Futures OILSPCX Tabungan Pusat Acara Hub Hadiah

Lainnya

Introduction Kalshi is a US-regulated exchange specializing in event contracts, where users can predict the outcomes of real-world events, such as elections, economic shifts, or even weatherIntroduction Kalshi is a US-regulated exchange specializing in event contracts, where users can predict the outcomes of real-world events, such as elections, economic shifts, or even weather

Belajar/Cryptocurrency Knowledge/Hot Concepts/What is Kal...s Explained

What is Kalshi? US-Regulated Event Contracts Explained

Penulis: Emma Williams

Pemula

Mar 24, 2026Emma Williams

Q$0.021929-0.88%

Introduction

Kalshi is a US-regulated exchange specializing in event contracts, where users can predict the outcomes of real-world events, such as elections, economic shifts, or even weather patterns. The platform offers simple Yes/No contracts that pay $1 for correct predictions and $0 for incorrect ones, making it accessible for both casual and professional traders. Kalshi’s CFTC regulation sets it apart from decentralized platforms like Polymarket, offering a legal and secure environment for U.S. traders.

TL;DR

Kalshi is a US-regulated exchange offering event contracts for predicting real-world outcomes.
Event contracts are Yes/No predictions with binary payouts: $1 if correct and $0 if wrong.
CFTC regulation ensures legal compliance and financial security for U.S. traders.
Unlike decentralized platforms, Kalshi provides a regulated, tax-compliant alternative with institutional-grade security.

What is an Event Contract?

An event contract is a financial instrument where users predict the outcome of a specific event. Each contract has a Yes/No proposition, and the price reflects the market's probability of that event occurring. For example, a contract asking, "Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 2026?" will have a Yes price and a No price, reflecting the market’s belief in the probability of each outcome. The winning side pays out $1, and the losing side pays out $0.

For more details on how event contracts work, check out How Do Prediction Markets Work?.

Why Kalshi’s US-Regulated Status Matters

Unlike decentralized prediction markets, Kalshi’s CFTC regulation makes it a safer choice for U.S. traders, offering the benefits of a regulated environment:

Legal Security: U.S. residents can trade on Kalshi knowing that it’s governed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which ensures that it operates within the law and is subject to federal oversight.
Financial Protection: Funds are held in a regulated clearinghouse, offering financial security to traders.
Tax Compliance: Since Kalshi operates under U.S. law, traders can expect transparent tax reporting and easy access to tax-related documents.

This makes Kalshi a legal, secure, and tax-compliant platform for trading on future outcomes, something that decentralized platforms like Polymarket do not offer.

How Kalshi’s Event Contracts Work: The Mechanics

Kalshi’s event contracts are simple to understand but offer deep financial utility. You predict an event’s outcome (Yes/No), and the market adjusts the price based on how likely the event is to happen.

Binary Payout System: If the event occurs, the Yes contract pays out $1; if it doesn’t, it pays $0.
Market Prices Reflect Probability: For instance, if the Yes price for an event is $0.75, the market believes there’s a 75% chance of the event happening. The No price reflects the inverse (in this case, $0.25).

This binary structure simplifies the process for users to predict outcomes and manage risk. Unlike traditional markets, event contracts focus on specific outcomes, which makes them ideal for trading on news, political events, and economic trends.

Kalshi vs. Polymarket: Legal and Operational Differences

Kalshi's regulated environment ensures transparency and safety for U.S. traders, while Polymarket offers a non-regulated, decentralized alternative that appeals to users looking for anonymity but lacks the same level of legal protections.

Feature	Kalshi (US-regulated)	Polymarket (Decentralized)
Regulation	Fully regulated by the CFTC	Operates without government oversight
Legal Compliance	Ensures tax and legal compliance in the U.S.	Legal grey area for U.S. residents
Onboarding	Requires KYC for U.S. users	No-KYC required, anonymous trading
Trading Fees	Relatively higher due to operational costs	Typically lower, but depends on platform
Payout Structure	Simple binary payouts ($1 if correct)	Similar, but decentralized mechanisms may vary

For more information about the differences between decentralized and centralized platforms, readPolymarket vs. MEXC Prediction Market.

Kalshi’s Role in Political and Economic Forecasting

Kalshi is playing a significant role in both political and economic forecasting. The platform allows users to trade on the outcomes of high-impact events, such as elections, inflation rates, and interest rate decisions.

Political Forecasting on Kalshi:

Election Markets: Kalshi offers prediction markets for U.S. elections, where users can trade on the likelihood of candidates winning, the passing of legislation, or other political outcomes.
Policy Predictions: Users can also predict policy changes, like tax reform or changes in healthcare policy. This makes Kalshi an essential tool for those who want to engage in political forecasting and understand the public's sentiment around political events.

Kalshi's legal victory in 2024 opened the door for regulated political trading, which was previously restricted in the U.S. This has made Kalshi a unique player in political markets compared to platforms like Polymarket, which operates in a decentralized, less regulated environment.

FAQ

Q1: How are Kalshi’s event contracts priced?

Event contracts on Kalshi are priced based on the market's perception of the event’s probability. The Yes price reflects the probability of the event happening, while the No price reflects the probability of it not happening.

Q2: What advantages does Kalshi offer over Polymarket?

Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, offering legal protection, tax compliance, and financial security. In contrast, Polymarket operates in a decentralized environment, offering more anonymity but less regulatory oversight.

Q3: Can I use Kalshi for political forecasting?

Yes, Kalshi offers prediction markets for political events, such as U.S. elections, legislation, and more, allowing users to trade on political outcomes legally.

Q4: How do I get started on Kalshi?

To start trading on Kalshi, simply sign up, complete the KYC process, and deposit funds. Then, you can start trading event contracts and predicting the outcomes of various events.

Conclusion

Kalshi is transforming the way people trade on future events, offering a regulated and secure platform for U.S. residents to participate in political, economic, and other event-based predictions. With its CFTC regulation, Kalshi ensures that users can trade with legal security and financial protection, something that decentralized platforms like Polymarket lack. Whether you’re hedging against macroeconomic risks, predicting political outcomes, or forecasting economic trends, Kalshi provides a compliant and transparent solution for all.

For more on how prediction markets work, see our article What is a Prediction Market?.

Disclaimer：

This information does not provide advice on investment, taxation, legal, financial, accounting, or any other related services, nor does it constitute advice to purchase, sell, or hold any assets. MEXC Learn provides information for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and exercise caution when investing. The platform is not responsible for users' investment decisions.

Peluang Pasar

Harga Quack AI(Q)

$0.021929

$0.021929$0.021929

+0.09%

USD

Grafik Harga Live Quack AI (Q)

Artikel Populer

Lihat Selengkapnya

Prediksi Harga Hedera (HBAR) Juli 2026: Putusan Komoditas Digital, ETF Spot, tetapi Masih Belum Reli?

Token HBAR milik Hedera menghabiskan sebagian besar tahun 2026 dengan nyaris tanpa pergerakan besar, dan justru karena itulah trader terus bertanya ke mana arahnya berikutnya. Jaringan ini terus merai

Penulis: Emma Williams

2026-07-07

Apakah Saham APLD Akan Mencapai 106 Dolar AS? Apa yang Sebenarnya Terungkap dari Perdebatan Target Harga Applied Digital

Applied Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: APLD) telah melakukan salah satu transformasi bisnis paling dramatis dalam sejarah teknologi terkini, berubah dari perusahaan hosting untuk penambangan aset kripto

Penulis: Marcus O'Brien

2026-06-30

Wall Street Meningkatkan Proyeksi UNH Enam Kali dalam Dua Minggu! Bisakah Saham UnitedHealth Mencapai $492? Target Harga UNH 2026–2030

UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH) telah pulih dari level terendah 52 minggu di $234,60 dan diperdagangkan sekitar $407 per 11 Juni 2026 — namun masih 32% di bawah rekor tertinggi sepanjang masa $603,20 y

Penulis: Marcus O'Brien

2026-06-12

Apakah Broadcom Layak Dibeli Setelah Anjlok 12,59%? Target Harga dan Konsensus Analis Saham Broadcom (AVGO)

Broadcom melampaui estimasi laba Q2, mencatatkan pertumbuhan pendapatan chip AI sebesar 143%, namun sahamnya turun 12,59% dalam satu sesi perdagangan. Ketimpangan antara fundamental dan pergerakan har

Penulis: Marcus O'Brien

2026-06-05

Kabar Kripto Terpopuler

Lihat Selengkapnya

Perkiraan Kemajuan PDB AS Q2 dan Pratinjau Inti PCE Dapatkah Pendaratan Lembut Bertahan 30 Juli

Ikhtisar Biro Analisis Ekonomi AS merilis estimasi muka PDB kuartal kedua pada 30 Juli, dan kumpulan data yang sama membawa pengukur inflasi Federal Reserve mengawasi paling dekat, pengeluaran konsums

Penulis: James Mitchell

2026-07-27

American Express Q2 2026 Pengujian Pratinjau Pendapatan Kekuatan Pengeluaran Konsumen yang Makmur

Ikhtisar Investor menonton laporan pendapatan American Express Q2 2026 untuk lebih dari potensi keuntungan lainnya. Hasilnya akan menawarkan pembacaan tepat waktu tentang pengeluaran konsumen yang mak

Penulis: James Mitchell

2026-07-23

NVIDIA Q2 2026 Pratinjau Pendapatan saat Pengeluaran AI Menghadapi Ujian Utama Berikutnya

Ikhtisar Pendapatan NVIDIA Q2 2026 akan menarik perhatian pasar global karena laporan tersebut akan menguji apakah siklus infrastruktur kecerdasan buatan masih dipercepat dengan kecepatan yang dapat m

Penulis: James Mitchell

2026-07-23

Meta Q2 2026 Rekor Pendapatan Iklan Memenuhi Taruhan AI senilai $145 Miliar

Ikhtisar Fokus pasar pada laporan Meta 29 Juli tidak ada hubungannya dengan apakah iklan dapat memecahkan rekor lain - yang mendekati kesimpulan yang sudah pasti. Ini berpusat pada kontradiksi yang le

Penulis: James Mitchell

2026-07-16

Berita yang Sedang Tren

Lihat Selengkapnya

Tanggal Laporan Keuangan Tesla Q2 2026: Waktu Rilis, Webcast, dan Metrik Utama

Laporan pendapatan Tesla Q2 2026 dijadwalkan pada hari Rabu, 22 Juli 2026, setelah penutupan pasar, dengan manajemen yang dijadwalkan menjadi tuan rumah webcast Tanya Jawab langsung pada pukul 16:30 W

2026-07-06

Bitget Akan Keluar dari Jepang: Layanan untuk Penduduk Jepang Berakhir pada 31 Desember 2026

Bitget akan mengakhiri layanan untuk pengguna di Jepang pada 31 Desember 2026. Pengguna yang terdampak harus menutup posisi terbuka dan menarik aset sebelum batas waktu tersebut.

2026-08-04

Mastercard Menyelesaikan Akuisisi BVNK Hingga $1,8 Miliar—Stablecoin Masuk ke Inti Pembayaran Global

Mastercard menyelesaikan akuisisinya terhadap penyedia infrastruktur stablecoin BVNK pada 3 Agustus 2026, setelah mengumumkan transaksi tersebut pada bulan Maret.

2026-08-04

Rasio Volume Spot DEX ke CEX Mencapai 24% Saat Aktivitas Bursa Terpusat Melemah

Rasio volume spot bursa terdesentralisasi terhadap volume spot bursa tersentralisasi mencapai 24,14% pada Juli 2026, menurut seri data terkini dari The Block. Angka tersebut tidak berarti bahwa DEX me

2026-08-04