Meteora (MET) Price Forecast: Market Outlook & Analysis

The forecast for Meteora (MET) offers a forward-looking view of potential price ranges and scenarios. Forecasts combine historical performance, technical indicators, on-chain signals, and macro drivers to give traders a structured way to plan—while remembering forecasts are probabilistic, not guaranteed.

Current Market Snapshot Of Meteora (MET)

As of Thursday, October 23, 2025, Meteora (MET) is trading at approximately $1.00 with a 24-hour volume and market cap reflecting its recent launch and high volatility. Recent price action has shown extreme volatility and rapid price discovery, as 48% of the total Meteora supply entered the market immediately at TGE, creating both significant liquidity and short-term uncertainty.

Market participants responded to Meteora's radical "instant liquidity" launch model with intense trading activity, as airdrop recipients and early claimants moved to realize gains or establish positions. This led to sharp intraday moves and a wide trading range in the first hours post-listing on MET markets.

What Shapes MET Price Forecasts?

Forecasts for Meteora MET depend on a combination of fundamentals and market mechanics. Key influences include:

• Adoption signals: Usage of Meteora's DEX, integrations with Solana DeFi, and the uptake of new products like DLMM v2 and Meteora Invent.
• Protocol upgrades: Launch of dynamic fee structures, presale vaults, and new Meteora liquidity tools.
• Liquidity conditions: The immediate release of 48% of Meteora supply and deep liquidity on MEXC.
• Macro indicators: Broader crypto market sentiment, Solana ecosystem health, and risk appetite.
• Correlation with Bitcoin/Ethereum: As with most altcoins, Meteora MET's price is influenced by major crypto trends.

Top 3 recent on-chain or market events impacting MET's forecast:

• The instant release of 48% of MET supply at TGE, creating unprecedented initial liquidity and volatility for Meteora.
• The launch of DLMM v2 and Meteora Invent, expanding protocol utility and potential user base.
• Airdrop claims and community distribution, with a large portion of Meteora tokens going directly to users, setting the stage for organic price discovery.

Historical Trends Informing Meteora Forecasts

Historical cycles provide context: past rallies, drawdowns, and recovery patterns help set reasonable upper and lower forecast bounds for Meteora (MET). Meteora's predecessor, Mercurial Finance (MER), experienced severe disruption after the FTX collapse, which stranded liquidity and eroded confidence. Meteora's new approach—full, instant liquidity—breaks with convention and is designed to avoid past pitfalls.

Previous accumulation phases in Solana DeFi have often preceded 2–5x rallies; if that pattern repeats, the midpoint forecast range for Meteora adjusts accordingly. However, the unique supply dynamics of MET mean that historical analogs should be used cautiously.

• All-Time High (ATH): $1.00 (October 23, 2025, launch price for Meteora).
• All-Time Low (ATL): To be established in the first days of Meteora trading.

Short-Term MET Price Forecast (Days–Weeks)

Short-term models weigh technicals and order-flow: support for Meteora is likely to form near $0.50, with resistance at $1.20–$1.50 as initial volatility subsides. Indicators such as RSI and MACD will be highly reactive in the first week due to the influx of new Meteora supply and trading volume.

If support at $0.50 holds and volume expands, the short-term forecast for MET could show a probable upside of +30–50% from the initial price; if support breaks, a downside path to $0.30–$0.40 becomes more likely.

Short-term forecast:
Given the unprecedented supply release, expect a volatile range between $0.40 and $1.20 in Meteora's first week. Trigger events include the pace of airdrop claims, user retention, and the adoption of new Meteora protocol features. A stabilization above $0.80 would signal strong market confidence, while a drop below $0.50 could trigger further sell pressure.

Medium-Term Meteora Forecast (1–6 Months)

Medium-term projections consider adoption trends, partnership rollouts, and macro cycles. For Meteora (MET), factors such as:

• Adoption of DLMM v2 and dynamic vaults
• Growth in total value locked (TVL) and trading volume on Meteora
• Expansion of the Meteora Invent launchpad and presale vaults

will shape trajectory. A medium-term forecast typically produces a probabilistic band:

• Low Range Prediction for Meteora: $0.30
• Median Prediction: $0.80
• High Range Prediction: $1.80

Top 3 milestones supporting the high-case for MET:

• Sustained TVL above $1 billion on Meteora DEX.
• Successful onboarding of new projects via Meteora Invent.
• Broad adoption of dynamic fee sharing and Meteora vault products.

Long-Term Meteora (MET) Outlook (6–24+ Months)

Long-term forecasts weigh fundamentals: real-world adoption, tokenomics sustainability, competitive position, and macro regime shifts. If Meteora ecosystem growth continues as projected, long-term models may show target ranges such as $0.50 — $3.00. Conversely, protracted macro headwinds or regulatory setbacks would compress upside and tilt probability toward downside scenarios for MET.

Assuming steady adoption and favorable macro conditions, long-term models place the median forecast for Meteora near $1.50; however, risk factors may extend the lower tail.

MET Expert Sentiment & Model Consensus

Blending multiple analyst views and model outputs reduces single-source bias for Meteora predictions. Consensus can be summarized as:

• Bullish cluster for MET: Median $1.80 (if protocol adoption and TVL growth accelerate)
• Neutral cluster: Median $0.80 (if adoption is steady but not explosive)
• Bearish cluster: Median $0.40 (if sell pressure persists and Meteora adoption lags)

Divergences typically arise from different weightings on adoption vs. macro risk. The main disagreement is whether the instant liquidity model will foster sustainable price discovery for Meteora or lead to prolonged downward pressure.

Risks to Meteora Forecasts

No forecast is immune to shocks. Key risks for Meteora (MET) include:

• Sudden regulatory action affecting Solana or DeFi protocols.
• Security incidents (e.g., smart contract exploits).
• Liquidity withdrawals by large Meteora holders or airdrop recipients.
• Unexpected macro tightening (e.g., global risk-off events).

Current risk note:
Heightened regulatory scrutiny in major jurisdictions could shorten the time horizon for upside scenarios, while the large initial Meteora supply release increases short-term volatility risk.

Actionable Takeaways for Traders & Investors on MET

• Maintain clear risk management (position sizing, stop levels near $0.50 for Meteora).
• Watch catalyst calendar: DLMM v2 launch, Meteora Invent onboarding, and major protocol upgrades in Q4 2025.
• Use a range-based approach: plan for low/median/high outcomes rather than a single target for MET.

Conclusion

A forecast is not a guarantee, but it provides valuable perspective on what may lie ahead for Meteora (MET). Keeping track of price forecasts for MET allows traders to weigh risks against opportunities and adjust their strategies accordingly. On MEXC, you'll find the latest Meteora forecasts paired with tools and data designed to help you trade MET more effectively.